2024 United States presidential election in California

California participated in the 2024 United States presidential election on November 5, 2024, alongside the other 49 states and the District of Columbia. California voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. California has 54 electoral votes in the Electoral College, the most in the country.

2024 United States presidential election in California

← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →
Turnout	71.43% (of registered voters) 9.24 pp 59.97% (of eligible voters) 10.91 pp
Nominee Kamala Harris Donald Trump Party Democratic Republican Home state California Florida Running mate Tim Walz JD Vance Electoral vote 54 0 Popular vote 9,276,179 6,081,697 Percentage 58.47% 38.33%
County results Congressional district results Harris   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90% Trump   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%
President before election Joe Biden Democratic Elected President Donald Trump Republican

The most populous state in the union, California is considered a strongly blue state, having voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1992. In these contests, it has supported Democratic candidates by double digits in each of them except for 2004, when John Kerry won it by 9.95 percentage points. It was widely expected that California voters would maintain this trend, particularly with Vice President Kamala Harris as the Democratic nominee. Harris, a native of California, served as the state's Attorney General from 2011 to 2017 and later represented California in the U.S. Senate from 2017 to 2021 before assuming the vice presidency. She is the first Californian to be featured on a major party presidential ticket since Ronald Reagan in 1984, and the first Democrat from the West.

Although Kamala Harris won in California by a margin of 20 percentage points, it represented a significant decrease compared to Joe Biden's 29-point victory in the state in 2020. This trend of diminished Democratic voter turnout was also evident in other traditionally Democratic strongholds, including Massachusetts, New York and Illinois. Harris's performance in California was the worst for a Democratic candidate since 2004, failing to receive at least 60% of the vote in the state for the first time since then.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

The California Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. President Biden won all 424 pledged delegates with nearly 90% of the vote, the largest share of delegates awarded by any contest in the 2024 primaries.

Popular vote share by county

  Biden

•   80–90%
•   >90%

California Democratic primary, March 5, 2024

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Bound	Unbound	Total
Joe Biden (incumbent)	3,207,687	89.1%	424		424
Marianne Williamson	146,356	4.1%
Dean Phillips	100,284	2.8%
Armando Perez-Serrato	43,105	1.2%
Gabriel Cornejo	41,390	1.2%
"President" R. Boddie	25,455	0.7%
Stephen P. Lyons	21,062	0.6%
Eban Cambridge	12,758	0.3%
Total (including write-ins):	3,598,126	100.00%	424	73	497

The electors of the Democratic Party are chosen by the candidates who received the most votes in the primary election in their respective congressional district.

Republican primary

The California Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Former president Donald Trump was challenged by Nikki Haley, the only other major candidate remaining in the Republican primaries. Trump won the state in a landslide, defeating Haley by 60 points and earning all 169 delegates.

The state was the site of the second Republican primary debate, held at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library on September 27, 2023.

Popular vote share by county

  Trump

•   60–70%
•   70–80%
•   80–90%

California Republican primary, March 5, 2024

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Bound	Unbound	Total
Donald Trump	1,962,905	79.25%	169	0	169
Nikki Haley	431,876	17.44%	0	0	0
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)	35,717	1.44%	0	0	0
Chris Christie (withdrawn)	20,210	0.82%	0	0	0
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)	11,113	0.45%	0	0	0
Rachel Swift	4,253	0.17%	0	0	0
David Stuckenberg	3,909	0.16%	0	0	0
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)	3,577	0.14%	0	0	0
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)	3,336	0.13%	0	0	0
Total:	2,476,896	100.00%	169	0	169

The electors of the Republican Party are their nominees for the main offices of the State of California and for Senator at the last two elections as well as their leaders in the state legislature and party committee.

Libertarian primary

Charles Ballay was the only candidate to qualify for the Libertarian Party primary ballot. Chase Oliver later qualified as a write-in candidate.

2024 California Libertarian primary

Candidate	Votes	Percentage
			Charles Ballay	21,906	98.6%
Chase Oliver (write-in)	313	1.4%
Total:	22,219	100.0%

The electors for the Libertarian Party were elected by the state party convention.

Green primary

Jill Stein, the Green Party's nominee for president in 2012 and 2016, was the only candidate on the California primary ballot, although she was followed by three write-in candidates. Stein won the primary and earned all 59 of the state's delegates.

2024 California Green primary

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Delegates
Jill Stein	15,801	99.96%	59
Matthew Pruden (write-in)	3	0.02%
Jorge Zavala (write-in)	3	0.02%
Davi (write-in)	1	0.00%
Total:	15,808	100.0%	59

Peace and Freedom primary

Peace and Freedom primary results by county:

  Claudia De la Cruz

•   100%
    80–85%
    75–80%
    70–75%
    65–70%
    60–65%
    55–60%
    50–55%
    45–50%
    40–45%
    35–40%

  Cornel West

•   100%
    65–70%
    60–65%
    55–60%
    50–55%
    45–50%
    40–45%
    35–40%

  De la Cruz-West tie

•   45–50%
    40–45%
    35–40%

  De la Cruz-Sherman tie

•   50%

  West-Sherman tie

•   35–40%

  No votes

•   No votes

Three candidates successfully achieved ballot access in the Peace and Freedom Party non-binding presidential primary: Claudia de la Cruz, the nominee for the Party for Socialism and Liberation; Cornel West, who ran an independent campaign after withdrawing from the Green nomination; and Jasmine Sherman. The party's presidential nominee was chosen by the state central committee in August.

2024 California Peace and Freedom primary

Candidate	Votes	Percentage
			Claudia de la Cruz	6,430	47.0%
Cornel West	5,455	39.9%
Jasmine Sherman	1,795	13.1%
Total:	13,680	100.0%

American Independent Party

The sole candidate of the American Independent Party primary was James Bradley, who was simultaneously running for the U.S. Senate as a Republican in the blanket primary held on the same day. Andrew George Rummel also qualified as an official write-in candidate.

2024 California American Independent primary

Candidate	Votes	Percentage
			James Bradley	45,565	99.96%
Andrew George Rummel (write-in)	16	0.04%
Total:	45,581	100.0%

General election

Candidates

In California, six political parties have qualified for ballot access in the 2024 election. On August 29, 2024, California secretary of state Shirley Weber published the certified list of candidates for the general election:

• Kamala Harris / Tim Walz — Democratic
• Donald Trump / JD Vance — Republican
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. / Nicole Shanahan — American Independent
• Jill Stein / Butch Ware — Green
• Chase Oliver / Mike ter Maat — Libertarian
• Claudia De la Cruz / Karina Garcia — Peace and Freedom

Weber's office published the list of write-in candidates on October 25, in which Peter Sonski was the only certified candidate listed, alongside his running mate Lauren Onak.

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Solid D	December 19, 2023
Inside Elections	Solid D	April 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Safe D	June 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill	Safe D	December 14, 2023
CNalysis	Solid D	December 30, 2023
CNN	Solid D	January 14, 2024
The Economist	Safe D	June 12, 2024
538	Solid D	June 11, 2024
NBC News	Safe D	October 6, 2024

Polling

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Research Co.	November 2–3, 2024	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	64%	32%	4%
Competitive Edge Research	October 28–30, 2024	517 (RV)	± 4.3%	53%	38%	8%
UC Berkeley IGS	October 22–28, 2024	4,341 (LV)	± 2.0%	57%	35%	8%
ActiVote	October 7–27, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	63%	37%	–
Rose Institute/YouGov	October 7–17, 2024	1,139 (RV)	± 3.4%	60%	33%	7%
				63%	34%	3%
		1,139 (LV)		63%	34%	3%
Emerson College	October 12–14, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	59%	35%	6%
				61%	37%	2%
ActiVote	September 22 – October 10, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	63.5%	36.5%	–
ActiVote	August 22 – September 21, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	64%	36%	–
Emerson College	September 3–5, 2024	815 (LV)	± 3.4%	60%	36%	4%
				61%	38%	1%
ActiVote	August 2–19, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	65%	35%	–
UC Berkeley IGS	July 31 – August 11, 2024	3,765 (LV)	± 2.0%	59%	34%	7%
	July 21, 2024	Kamala Harris declares her candidacy.
Emerson College/Inside California Elections	November 11–14, 2023	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	38%	15%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Cygnal (R)	October 27–30, 2024	611 (LV)	± 4.0%	55%	31%	4%	–	2%	1%	7%
Public Policy Institute of California	October 7–15, 2024	1,137 (LV)	± 3.7%	59%	33%	3%	–	1%	0%	4%
UC Berkeley IGS	September 25 – October 1, 2024	3,045 (LV)	± 2.5%	57%	35%	2%	1%	1%	0%	4%
University of Southern California/CSU Long Beach/Cal Poly Pomona	September 12–25, 2024	1,685 (LV)	± 2.4%	58%	36%	2%	–	2%	0%	2%
Capitol Weekly	September 11–16, 2024	1,054 (LV)	–	59%	34%	3%	0%	2%	–	2%
Capitol Weekly	August 23–26, 2024	3,154 (LV)	–	58%	36%	4%	0%	2%	–	–
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
Capitol Weekly	August 13–15, 2024	1,738 (LV)	–	57%	37%	5%	0%	1%	–	–
Capitol Weekly	July 25–27, 2024	1,904 (LV)	–	59%	35%	5%	0%	2%	–	–
	July 21, 2024	Kamala Harris declares her candidacy.
Capitol Weekly	July 19–22, 2024	2,121 (LV)	–	54%	33%	7%	0%	4%	–	2%
Capitol Weekly	July 12–14, 2024	1,044 (LV)	–	54%	35%	7%	0%	3%	–	2%

Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden withdraws from the race.
Public Policy Institute of California	June 24 – July 2, 2024	1,261 (LV)	± 3.7%	55%	30%	15%
Public Policy Institute of California	May 23 – June 2, 2024	1,098 (LV)	± 3.9%	55%	31%	14%
The Bullfinch Group	April 16–23, 2024	250 (RV)	± 6.2%	59%	34%	7%
John Zogby Strategies	April 13–21, 2024	740 (LV)	–	56%	38%	6%
Public Policy Institute of California	March 19–25, 2024	1,089 (LV)	± 3.9%	54%	31%	14%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University	February 29 – March 3, 2024	740 (RV)	–	54%	36%	10%
		692 (LV)		56%	37%	7%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections	February 24–27, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	57%	35%	8%
UC Berkeley IGS	February 22–26, 2024	6,536 (LV)	± 1.5%	52%	34%	14%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections	February 16–18, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	55%	33%	12%
Public Policy Institute of California	February 6–13, 2024	1,075 (LV)	± 3.9%	55%	32%	13%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections	January 11–14, 2024	1,087 (RV)	± 2.9%	54%	34%	12%
UC Berkeley IGS	January 1–4, 2024	4,471 (LV)	± 2.0%	56%	37%	19%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections	November 11–14, 2023	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	37%	13%
Public Policy Institute of California	November 9–16, 2023	1,113 (LV)	± 3.2%	54%	30%	16%
UC Berkeley IGS	October 24–30, 2023	4,506 (LV)	± 2.5%	46%	31%	23%
Public Policy Institute of California	October 3–19, 2023	1,377 (LV)	± 4.0%	60%	29%	12%
Data Viewpoint	October 1, 2023	533 (RV)	± 4.3%	67%	33%	–
Public Policy Institute of California	August 25 – September 5, 2023	1,146 (LV)	± 3.7%	57%	26%	17%
UC Berkeley IGS	August 24–29, 2023	6,030 (RV)	± 2.0%	51%	31%	18%
Public Policy Institute of California	June 7–29, 2023	1,089 (LV)	± 3.8%	57%	31%	12%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections	June 4–7, 2023	1,056 (RV)	± 2.9%	54%	32%	14%
Public Policy Institute of California	May 17–24, 2023	1,062 (LV)	± 3.9%	58%	25%	17%
UC Berkeley/Los Angeles Times	February 14–20, 2023	7,512 (RV)	± 2.0%	57%	27%	16%
		5,149 (LV)		59%	29%	12%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Capitol Weekly	September 11–16, 2024	1,054 (LV)	–	51%	34%	4%	0%	3%	8%
Capitol Weekly	August 23–26, 2024	3,154 (LV)	–	52%	35%	4%	0%	3%	5%
Capitol Weekly	August 13–15, 2024	1,738 (LV)	–	51%	36%	6%	2%	1%	5%
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden withdraws from the race.
Capitol Weekly	July 19–22, 2024	2,121 (LV)	–	52%	35%	6%	0%	4%	3%
Capitol Weekly	July 12–14, 2024	1,044 (LV)	–	51%	33%	6%	0%	5%	5%
The Bullfinch Group	April 16–23, 2024	250 (RV)	± 6.2%	48%	28%	12%	2%	2%	8%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections	February 24–27, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	51%	32%	6%	2%	1%	8%
UC Berkeley IGS	February 22–26, 2024	6,536 (LV)	± 1.5%	40%	28%	11%	3%	2%	16%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections	February 16–18, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	31%	8%	1%	1%	10%
USC Dornsife/CSU Long Beach/Cal Poly Pomona	January 21–29, 2024	1,416 (LV)	± 2.6%	53%	25%	7%	3%	1%	9%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections	January 11–14, 2024	1,087 (RV)	± 2.9%	47%	32%	6%	1%	1%	13%
UC Berkeley IGS	January 1–4, 2024	4,471 (LV)	± 2.0%	47%	31%	7%	2%	2%	11%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections	November 11–14, 2023	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	43%	31%	8%	1%	2%	15%
UC Berkeley IGS	October 24–30, 2023	4,506 (LV)	± 2.5%	43%	29%	9%	4%	–	15%

Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies	April 13–21, 2024	740 (LV)	–	51%	40%	9%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies	April 13–21, 2024	740 (LV)	–	47%	35%	18%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Ron DeSantis Republican	Other / Undecided
Emerson College/Inside California Elections	June 4–7, 2023	1,056 (RV)	± 2.9%	54%	28%	18%
UC Berkeley/Los Angeles Times	February 14–20, 2023	7,512 (RV)	± 2.0%	54%	31%	15%
		5,149 (LV)		56%	34%	10%

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Nikki Haley Republican	Other / Undecided
Data Viewpoint	October 1, 2023	533 (RV)	± 4.3%	58%	42%	–

Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Gavin Newsom Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Emerson College/Inside California Elections	November 11–14, 2023	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	53%	35%	13%

Gavin Newsom vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Gavin Newsom Democratic	Ron DeSantis Republican	Other / Undecided
Probolsky Research	August 4–9, 2022	900 (LV)	± 3.3%	55%	38%	7%

Results

Swing by county

Legend

•   Democratic — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +2.5-5%
•   Republican — +5-7.5%
•   Republican — +7.5-10%
•   Republican — +10-12.5%
•   Republican — +12.5-15%
•   Republican — +>15%

County flips

Legend

• Democratic   Hold

  Republican   Hold   Gain from Democratic

2024 United States presidential election in California

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Kamala Harris Tim Walz	9,276,179	58.47%	5.01%
	Republican	Donald Trump JD Vance	6,081,697	38.33%	4.01%
	American Independent	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (withdrawn) Nicole Shanahan (withdrawn)	197,645	1.25%	0.91%
	Green	Jill Stein Butch Ware	167,814	1.06%	0.60%
	Peace and Freedom	Claudia De la Cruz Karina Garcia	72,539	0.46%	0.17%
	Libertarian	Chase Oliver Mike ter Maat	66,662	0.42%	0.65%
	American Solidarity	Peter Sonski (write-in) Lauren Onak (write-in)	2,939	0.02%	0.01%
Total votes			15,865,475	100.00%	N/A

By county

County	Kamala Harris Democratic		Donald Trump Republican		Various candidates Other parties		Margin		Total votes cast
	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%
Alameda	499,551	74.57%	140,789	21.02%	29,567	4.41%	358,762	53.55%	669,907
Alpine	479	64.38%	243	32.66%	22	2.96%	236	31.72%	744
Amador	7,783	34.55%	14,018	62.22%	727	3.23%	-6,235	-27.67%	22,528
Butte	44,228	46.77%	47,179	49.90%	3,149	3.33%	-2,951	-3.13%	94,556
Calaveras	9,181	34.67%	16,625	62.78%	674	2.55%	-7,444	-28.11%	26,480
Colusa	2,431	34.62%	4,414	62.87%	176	2.51%	-1,983	-28.25%	7,021
Contra Costa	356,008	67.30%	155,308	29.36%	17,671	3.34%	200,700	37.94%	528,987
Del Norte	4,266	40.38%	5,999	56.78%	300	2.84%	-1,733	-16.40%	10,565
El Dorado	47,703	42.63%	61,109	54.61%	3,096	2.76%	-13,406	-11.98%	111,908
Fresno	151,628	46.50%	165,924	50.89%	8,497	2.61%	-14,296	-4.39%	326,049
Glenn	3,260	31.22%	6,904	66.12%	278	2.66%	-3,644	-34.90%	10,442
Humboldt	39,800	61.57%	21,559	33.35%	3,284	5.08%	18,241	28.22%	64,643
Imperial	26,083	48.27%	26,546	49.12%	1,409	2.61%	-463	-0.85%	54,038
Inyo	4,201	46.92%	4,468	49.91%	284	3.17%	-267	-2.99%	8,953
Kern	108,241	38.21%	167,879	59.26%	7,164	2.53%	-59,638	-21.05%	283,284
Kings	15,519	37.39%	25,074	60.41%	915	2.20%	-9,555	-23.02%	41,508
Lake	12,794	47.57%	13,161	48.93%	941	3.50%	-367	-1.36%	26,896
Lassen	2,478	21.71%	8,619	75.51%	318	2.78%	-6,141	-53.80%	11,415
Los Angeles	2,417,109	64.82%	1,189,862	31.91%	122,118	3.27%	1,227,247	32.91%	3,729,089
Madera	20,981	38.40%	32,344	59.20%	1,307	2.40%	-11,363	-20.80%	54,632
Marin	116,152	80.59%	24,054	16.69%	3,923	2.72%	92,098	63.90%	144,129
Mariposa	3,622	38.09%	5,625	59.15%	262	2.76%	-2,003	-21.06%	9,509
Mendocino	24,049	61.32%	13,528	34.49%	1,642	4.19%	10,521	26.83%	39,219
Merced	40,190	46.35%	43,955	50.70%	2,558	2.95%	-3,765	-4.35%	86,703
Modoc	1,008	25.03%	2,884	71.62%	135	3.35%	-1,876	-46.59%	4,027
Mono	3,522	58.08%	2,294	37.83%	248	4.09%	1,228	20.25%	6,064
Monterey	93,060	63.41%	49,226	33.54%	4,468	3.05%	43,834	29.87%	146,754
Napa	43,212	65.91%	20,357	31.05%	1,992	3.04%	22,855	34.86%	65,561
Nevada	33,784	54.36%	26,177	42.12%	2,183	3.52%	7,607	12.24%	62,144
Orange	691,731	49.72%	654,815	47.06%	44,761	3.22%	36,916	2.66%	1,391,307
Placer	103,958	44.25%	123,941	52.76%	7,034	2.99%	-19,983	-8.51%	234,933
Plumas	4,020	39.92%	5,725	56.85%	325	3.23%	-1,705	-16.93%	10,070
Riverside	451,782	48.04%	463,677	49.30%	25,051	2.66%	-11,895	-1.26%	940,510
Sacramento	381,564	58.10%	252,140	38.39%	23,043	3.51%	129,424	19.71%	656,747
San Benito	15,179	54.89%	11,702	42.32%	771	2.79%	3,477	12.57%	27,652
San Bernardino	362,114	47.53%	378,416	49.67%	21,316	2.80%	-16,302	-2.14%	761,846
San Diego	841,372	56.93%	593,270	40.14%	43,386	2.93%	248,102	16.79%	1,478,028
San Francisco	323,719	80.33%	62,594	15.53%	16,684	4.14%	261,125	64.80%	402,997
San Joaquin	126,647	47.81%	128,996	48.69%	9,273	3.50%	-2,349	-0.88%	264,916
San Luis Obispo	81,314	53.92%	64,932	43.05%	4,566	3.03%	16,382	10.87%	150,812
San Mateo	242,957	73.50%	76,616	23.18%	10,992	3.32%	166,341	50.32%	330,565
Santa Barbara	114,149	61.47%	64,870	34.93%	6,670	3.60%	49,279	26.54%	185,689
Santa Clara	510,744	68.04%	210,924	28.10%	28,938	3.86%	299,820	39.94%	750,606
Santa Cruz	100,998	74.82%	27,978	20.73%	6,005	4.45%	73,020	54.09%	134,981
Shasta	27,130	30.51%	59,539	66.96%	2,250	2.53%	-32,409	-36.45%	88,919
Sierra	641	36.52%	1,066	60.74%	48	2.74%	-425	-24.22%	1,755
Siskiyou	8,329	38.74%	12,461	57.96%	708	3.30%	-4,132	-19.22%	21,498
Solano	113,997	59.82%	70,345	36.91%	6,231	3.27%	43,652	22.91%	190,573
Sonoma	179,600	71.42%	63,426	25.22%	8,439	3.36%	116,174	46.20%	251,465
Stanislaus	85,347	42.98%	106,986	53.88%	6,225	3.14%	-21,639	-10.90%	198,558
Sutter	13,016	33.09%	25,372	64.50%	951	2.41%	-12,356	-31.41%	39,339
Tehama	7,415	27.94%	18,503	69.72%	622	2.34%	-11,088	-41.78%	26,540
Trinity	2,449	43.14%	2,979	52.47%	249	4.39%	-530	-9.33%	5,677
Tulare	53,221	38.48%	81,854	59.18%	3,234	2.34%	-28,633	-20.70%	138,309
Tuolumne	10,909	37.86%	17,210	59.72%	697	2.42%	-6,301	-21.86%	28,816
Ventura	217,424	56.08%	158,901	40.99%	11,379	2.93%	58,523	15.09%	387,704
Yolo	61,405	66.30%	27,844	30.06%	3,372	3.64%	33,561	36.24%	92,621
Yuba	10,725	35.66%	18,491	61.49%	856	2.85%	-7,766	-25.83%	30,072
Totals	9,276,179	58.45%	6,081,697	38.32%	513,384	3.23%	3,194,482	20.13%	15,871,260

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Butte (largest municipality: Chico)
• Fresno (largest municipality: Fresno)
• Imperial (largest municipality: El Centro)
• Inyo (largest municipality: Bishop)
• Lake (largest municipality: Clearlake)
• Merced (largest municipality: Merced)
• Riverside (largest municipality: Riverside)
• San Bernardino (largest municipality: San Bernardino)
• San Joaquin (largest municipality: Stockton)
• Stanislaus (largest municipality: Modesto)

By congressional district

Harris won 41 of 52 congressional districts, with the remaining 11 going to Trump, including two that elected Democrats.

District	Harris	Trump	Representative
1st	36%	61%	Doug LaMalfa
2nd	71%	26%	Jared Huffman
3rd	47%	50%	Kevin Kiley
4th	64%	33%	Mike Thompson
5th	40%	58%	Tom McClintock
6th	55%	41%	Ami Bera
7th	63%	33%	Doris Matsui
8th	70%	27%	John Garamendi
9th	48%	49%	Josh Harder
10th	65%	31%	Mark DeSaulnier
11th	82%	14%	Nancy Pelosi
12th	85%	11%	Barbara Lee (118th Congress)
			Lateefah Simon (119th Congress)
13th	46%	51%	John Duarte (118th Congress)
			Adam Gray (119th Congress)
14th	66%	30%	Eric Swalwell
15th	72%	24%	Kevin Mullin
16th	72%	24%	Anna Eshoo (118th Congress)
			Sam Liccardo (119th Congress)
17th	67%	29%	Ro Khanna
18th	63%	34%	Zoe Lofgren
19th	65%	31%	Jimmy Panetta
20th	34%	64%	Vince Fong
21st	51%	47%	Jim Costa
22nd	46%	52%	David Valadao
23rd	40%	57%	Jay Obernolte
24th	61%	36%	Salud Carbajal
25th	50%	48%	Raul Ruiz
26th	55%	42%	Julia Brownley
27th	50%	47%	Mike Garcia (118th Congress)
			George Whitesides (119th Congress)
28th	62%	35%	Judy Chu
29th	66%	31%	Tony Cárdenas (118th Congress)
			Luz Rivas (119th Congress)
30th	69%	28%	Adam Schiff (118th Congress)
			Laura Friedman (119th Congress)
31st	57%	40%	Grace Napolitano (118th Congress)
			Gil Cisneros (119th Congress)
32nd	64%	33%	Brad Sherman
33rd	53%	44%	Pete Aguilar
34th	73%	22%	Jimmy Gomez
35th	54%	43%	Norma Torres
36th	68%	29%	Ted Lieu
37th	79%	18%	Sydney Kamlager-Dove
38th	56%	40%	Linda Sánchez
39th	53%	44%	Mark Takano
40th	47%	49%	Young Kim
41st	46%	52%	Ken Calvert
42nd	64%	32%	Robert Garcia
43rd	73%	24%	Maxine Waters
44th	65%	32%	Nanette Barragán
45th	49%	48%	Michelle Steel (118th Congress)
			Derek Tran (119th Congress)
46th	57%	40%	Lou Correa
47th	50%	46%	Katie Porter (118th Congress)
			Dave Min (119th Congress)
48th	41%	56%	Darrell Issa
49th	52%	45%	Mike Levin
50th	63%	34%	Scott Peters
51st	60%	37%	Sara Jacobs
52nd	59%	38%	Juan Vargas

Analysis

Trump flipped 10 counties that were won by Biden in 2020: Butte, Fresno, Imperial, Inyo, Lake, Merced, Riverside, San Bernardino, San Joaquin, and Stanislaus. Of these 10, all except Butte and Inyo were also won by Hillary Clinton in 2016. Trump’s wins in Fresno, Merced, Riverside, San Bernardino, San Joaquin, and Stanislaus marked the first time they voted for a Republican since George W. Bush in 2004, although all are fairly consistently Republican at the state level. Trump's win in Imperial (which is over 80% Hispanic) marked the first time it voted Republican since George H.W. Bush in 1988, with Imperial being the most Hispanic county in California. Trump's win in Lake marked the first time it voted Republican since Ronald Reagan in 1984 (although it had already begun shifting to the right in the 2022 midterm elections). Trump was also the first Republican since George W. Bush in 2004 to win at least 30% in Los Angeles County. Trump managed to flip four congressional districts, two of which split tickets and elected Democrats. Trump's gains with Hispanics allowed him to cross 40% in Southern California for the first time since 2004 as well as trended the region to the right of the state. Trump’s gains among Hispanics in California also helped improve his margins in the state, also allowing him to carry 9 of the state's 11 Hispanic majority counties.

Trump also gained ground with Asian American voters in California, with Asian Americans being almost entirely responsible for the rightward shift in areas lacking significant Hispanic populations, such as San Francisco. In majority-Chinese Arcadia and Temple City, both communities in the San Gabriel Valley, Harris's margin dropped by 10% and 13% respectively. Trump also gained in mostly Filipino Daly City by 15%. Trump became the first Republican since 2004 to win the Inland Empire, California's third largest metropolitan area and a blue collar majority-Hispanic region that had been economically struggling.

Trump achieved significant gains in Los Angeles, receiving 27% of the vote, the highest for a Republican candidate in the city since 1988. This was a marked improvement from 2020, when Trump garnered only 21%, and 2016, when he received just 16% of the vote in the city. According to the New York Times 2024 precinct map, Trump's substantial gains in Los Angeles were largely attributed to increased support in Hispanic and Asian neighborhoods, although he made gains in nearly every single precinct in the city regardless. These communities, which have traditionally leaned Democratic, showed growing support for Trump, especially in areas where economic concerns, cultural values, and opposition to some policies of the Democratic Party resonated with voters. Donald Trump also saw an increase in Latino support in California, garnering 38% of the Latino vote, compared to 29% in the 2020 election, according to Fox News voter analysis. Trump won 42% of Latino Males compared to Harris's 54% and Trump received 34% of Latina Females compared to Harris's 63%—both major improvements from 2020.

Despite these results, Harris was able to hold onto historically Republican Orange County by a narrow margin. Harris also won every California county on the West Coast except for Del Norte County. She is also the first Democrat since John Kerry to win California despite carrying a minority of counties, winning 25 out of 58. Whereas Harris underperformed Biden's 2020 total by nearly 2 million, Trump narrowly surpassed his vote total from 2020, solidifying his base of support in the state at just over 6 million votes; this marked his third-highest vote total from any state in the country in 2024, only behind 6.4 million in Texas and 6.1 million in Florida. The swing in the presidential contest to Republicans in California was accompanied by a rejection of progressive ballot measures and a near-universal swing against progressive local candidates. Republican Senate candidate Steve Garvey was one of the few Republican senate candidates that outran Donald Trump, possibly owing to his large celebrity status within the state.

See also

• United States presidential elections in California
• 2024 United States presidential election
• 2024 California elections
• 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
• 2024 United States elections

Notes

1. Kennedy suspended his campaign on August 23, after the deadline for ballot access had passed, and thus remained on the ballot.
2. De la Cruz and Garcia are affiliated with the Party for Socialism and Liberation on a national level.
3. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
4. "Someone else" with 4%
5. "Other" with 7%
6. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
7. "Someone else" with 2%
8. "Someone else" with 1%
9. Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 2%
10. Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 1%
11. Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 0%
12. "Someone else" with 11%
13. "Someone else" with 13%
14. "Another candidate" with 6%
15. "Another candidate" with 4%
16. "Someone else" with 12%; "Would not vote" with 2%
17. Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 3%
18. Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 4%
19. Lars Mapstead (L) with 0%

1. Poll sponsored by Inside CA Politics and The Hill
2. Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
3. Poll sponsored by The Independent Center
4. Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign

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