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The 2020 United States presidential election in Florida was held on Tuesday November 3 2020 as part of the 2020 United S

2020 United States presidential election in Florida

  • HomePage
  • Wikipedia
  • 2020 United States presidential election in Florida

The 2020 United States presidential election in Florida was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election, in which all 50 states and the District of Columbia participated. Florida voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent president Donald Trump, and his running mate, Vice President Mike Pence, against Democratic Party nominee, former vice president Joe Biden, and his running mate, United States senator Kamala Harris, of California. Florida had 29 electoral votes in the Electoral College.

2020 United States presidential election in Florida
image
← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout77.17% (of registered voters) image 2.69 pp
  image image
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris
Electoral vote 29 0
Popular vote 5,668,731 5,297,045
Percentage 51.22% 47.86%
image County results
image Congressional district results
image Precinct results

Trump

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Biden

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Tie/No data

  
  

President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

Florida was one of six states as well as Washington, D.C., where Trump received a greater percentage of the two-party vote than he did in 2016.

Miami Beach, Florida, which hosted the 1972 Democratic National Convention, was a finalist to host the 2020 Democratic National Convention. The other finalists were Milwaukee and Houston; Milwaukee was chosen. Florida was Trump's state of residency for this election; New York was his home state in 2016. Trump was the first nominee of either major party to be a Florida resident. Biden was selected as the Democratic nominee in the 2020 Florida Democratic presidential primary on March 17, 2020 also becoming the first former vice-president to run for president since Richard Nixon in 1968.

Before the election, aggregate polls had Biden in the lead in Florida by 1 to 3 percentage points. Despite this, Trump won by a 3.4-point margin, improving on his margin from 2016 by 2.2 points. This was the largest margin for any presidential election in Florida since 2004. The main reason was increased support for Trump among Latino voters in the state, particularly in Miami-Dade County, which Biden carried by 7.4 points, significantly less than Clinton's 29.4-point margin in 2016 and Obama's 23.7-point margin in 2012. Trump carried the Cuban vote with 56%, while Biden carried the Puerto Rican vote with 66%, and Trump and Biden split the South American vote with 50% each. Overall, Biden won 54% of Latinos.

In this election, Florida voted 7.8 points right of the nation as a whole, the furthest it has voted from the nation since 1988, when the state voted 14.6 points right of the national result. As of the 2024 presidential election, this was the only election in which Florida backed the losing candidate since 1992. Despite the overall rightward shift, Biden became the first Democrat since 1976 to win the heavily urbanized Duval County, historically a Republican stronghold and home to Jacksonville. Similarly, he became the first Democrat to win Seminole County since Harry Truman in 1948.

Primary election

The primary elections were held on March 17, 2020.

Republican primary

The Florida Secretary of State declared Rocky De La Fuente to be a major candidate and thus worthy of automatic inclusion on the ballot.

This section is an excerpt from 2020 Florida Republican presidential primary § FLresults.[edit]
2020 Florida Republican presidential primary
Candidate Votes % Estimated
delegates
Donald Trump (incumbent) 1,162,984 93.79 122
Bill Weld 39,319 3.17
Joe Walsh (withdrawn) 25,464 2.05
Rocky De La Fuente 12,172 0.98
Total 1,239,939 100% 122

Democratic primary

Three Democrats were still in the race by the time Florida held its primaries: Vermont senator Bernie Sanders, former vice president Joe Biden, and representative from Hawaii, Tulsi Gabbard.

The first Democratic debate took place in Miami over two nights at the end of June 2019. It was broadcast on several of the NBC networks.

This section is an excerpt from 2020 Florida Democratic presidential primary § FLresults.[edit]
image
Popular vote share by county
  Biden—40–50%
  Biden—50–60%
  Biden—60–70%
  Biden—70–80%
  Biden—80–90%
2020 Florida Democratic presidential primary
Candidate Votes % Delegates
Joe Biden 1,077,375 61.95 162
Bernie Sanders 397,311 22.84 57
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn) 146,544 8.43
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) 39,886 2.29
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) 32,875 1.89
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) 17,276 0.99
Tulsi Gabbard 8,712 0.50
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) 5,286 0.30
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) 4,244 0.24
Tom Steyer (withdrawn) 2,510 0.14
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) 1,744 0.10
John Delaney (withdrawn) 1,583 0.09
Cory Booker (withdrawn) 1,507 0.09
Julián Castro (withdrawn) 1,036 0.06
Joe Sestak (withdrawn) 664 0.04
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) 661 0.04
Total 1,739,214 100% 219

General election

Final predictions

Source Ranking
The Cook Political Report Tossup
Inside Elections Tilt D (flip)
Sabato's Crystal Ball Lean R
Politico Tossup
RCP Tossup
Niskanen Tossup
CNN Tossup
The Economist Lean D (flip)
CBS News Tossup
270towin Tossup
ABC News Tossup
NPR Tossup
NBC News Lean D (flip)
538 Lean D (flip)

Polling

Graphical summary

Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org.

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other/
Undecided 		Margin
270 to Win October 24 – November 1, 2020 November 3, 2020 48.7% 46.0% 5.3% Biden +2.7
Real Clear Politics October 28 – November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 47.9% 47.0% 5.1% Biden +0.9
FiveThirtyEight until November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 49.1% 46.6% 4.3% Biden +2.5
Average 48.6% 46.5% 4.9% Biden +2.1

State polls

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Jo
Jorgensen
Libertarian 		Howie
Hawkins
Green 		Other Undecided
/Fox 35 Nov 1–2, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 47% 2% - – 3%
Trafalgar Group Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2020 1,054 (LV) ± 2.94% 49% 47% 2% - 1% 1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 8,792 (LV) ± 1.5% 49% 49% - - – –
/Aspiration Oct 30 – Nov 1, 2020 517 (LV) – 43% 45% - - – –
Change Research/CNBC Oct 29 – Nov 1, 2020 806 (LV) ± 3.45% 48% 51% 0% 0% – 1%
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./ Oct 29 – Nov 1, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 47% 46% 2% - 2% 3%
Quinnipiac University Oct 28 – Nov 1, 2020 1,657 (LV) ± 2.4% 42% 47% - - 1% 9%
Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 1,261 (LV) ± 3.7% 46% 53% 1% 1% – –
Data for Progress Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 1,202 (LV) ± 2.8% 48% 51% 1% 1% 0% –
Ipsos/Reuters Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 670 (LV) ± 4.3% 46% 50% 1% 0% 1% –
46% 50% - - 2% 2%
47% 51% - - 2% –
/ Oct 30–31, 2020 768 (LV) ± 3.5% 49% 51% - - – –
/Rasmussen Reports Oct 29–31, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 48% - - 3% –
Siena College/NYT Upshot Oct 27–31, 2020 1,451 (LV) ± 3.2% 44% 47% 2% 1% 0% 6%
Morning Consult Oct 22–31, 2020 4,451 (LV) ± 2% 45% 52% - - – –
Oct 29–30, 2020 2,758 (LV) ± 1.9% 48% 49% 1% - – 2%
/ Oct 28–30, 2020 1,200 (LV) ± 2.8% 47% 51% - - 2% 0%
45% 52% - - 2% 0%
48% 49% - - 2% 0%
/ Oct 25–30, 2020 1,027 (LV) – 47% 51% - - 2% –
AtlasIntel Oct 28–29, 2020 786 (LV) ± 3% 48.5% 48.5% - - – 3%
Public Policy Polling/ Oct 28–29, 2020 941 (V) – 45% 52% - - – 3%
/The Hill Oct 26–29, 2020 1,148 (LV) ± ≥3% 47% 50% - - – 3%
ABC/Washington Post Oct 24–29, 2020 824 (LV) ± 4% 50% 48% 1% 0% 0% 0%
Oct 27–28, 2020 1,587 (LV) – 46% 50% 1% 0% 0% 3%
Trafalgar Group Oct 25–28, 2020 1,088 (LV) ± 2.89% 50% 47% 2% - 1% 1%
Monmouth University Oct 24–28, 2020 509 (RV) ± 4.7% 45% 50% 1% 0% 1% 2%
509 (LV) 45% 51% - - – –
46% 50% - - – –
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 1–28, 2020 14,571 (LV) – 50% 48% - - – –
Marist College/NBC Oct 25–27, 2020 743 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 51% - - 1% 1%
Quinnipiac University Oct 23–27, 2020 1,324 (LV) ± 2.7% 42% 45% - - 1% 11%
Ipsos/Reuters Oct 21–27, 2020 704 (LV) ± 4.2% 47% 48% 1% 1% 2% –
47% 49% - - 3% 2%
Oct 23–26, 2020 605 (LV) ± 5.4% 51% 46% 2% 1% – –
YouGov/ Oct 16–26, 2020 1,200 (LV) ± 3.2% 46% 48% - - – 6%
Oct 24–25, 2020 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 50% 47% - - – –
Florida Atlantic University Oct 24–25, 2020 937 (LV) ± 3.1% 48% 50% - - 2% –
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./ Oct 23–25, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 49% 44% 2% - 3% 3%
Univision/University of Houston// Oct 17–25, 2020 743 (RV) ± 3.56% 46% 49% - - 2% 3%
Released Oct 24, 2020 – (V) – 47% 45% - - 3% 4%
Oct 24, 2020 665 (LV) ± 3.8% 48% 47% - - – 5%
YouGov/CBS Oct 20–23, 2020 1,228 (LV) ± 3.6% 48% 50% - - 2% 0%
/Florida Politics Oct 21–22, 2020 2,527 (LV) ± 2% 47% 49% - - 2% 2%
/ Oct 20–22, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 50% - - 1% 1%
46% 52% - - 1% 1%
48% 46% - - 1% 1%
/Rasmussen Reports Oct 20–21, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 50% 46% - - 3% 3%
Ipsos/Reuters Oct 14–21, 2020 662 (LV) ± 4.3% 46% 51% 1% 0% 2% –
46% 50% - - 1% 3%
Oct 17–20, 2020 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 45% 50% 1% 0% 1% 4%
Civiqs/Daily Kos Oct 17–20, 2020 863 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 51% - - 1% 1%
CNN/SSRS Oct 15–20, 2020 847 (LV) ± 4% 46% 50% 1% 1% 0% 1%
Morning Consult Oct 11–20, 2020 4,685 (LV) ± 1.4% 45% 52% - - – –
Change Research/CNBC Oct 16–19, 2020 547 (LV) – 45% 50% - - – –
University of North Florida Oct 12–16, 2020 863 (LV) ± 3.3% 47% 48% - - 1% 3%
/The Hill[1] Oct 12–15, 2020 965 (LV) – 48% 48% - - – 4%
Ipsos/Reuters Oct 7–14, 2020 653 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 50% 0% 0% 2% –
47% 49% - - 1% 3%
Trafalgar Group Oct 11–13, 2020 1,051 (LV) ± 2.94% 48% 46% 2% 1% 1% 2%
Oct 10–13, 2020 1,519 (LV) – 44% 50% 1% 0% – –
/Florida Politics Oct 11–12, 2020 2,215 (LV) ± 2.1% 47% 49% - - 1% 2%
Emerson College Oct 10–12, 2020 690 (LV) ± 3.7% 48% 51% - - 1% –
Mason-Dixon Oct 8–12, 2020 625 (LV) ± 4% 45% 48% - - 1% 6%
Oct 7–12, 2020 550 (LV) ± 4.18% 40% 47% - - 4% 9%
39% 48% - - 4% 9%
41% 46% - - 4% 9%
Morning Consult Oct 2–11, 2020 4,785 (LV) ± 1.4% 46% 51% - - – –
Oct 9–10, 2020 750 (LV) – 42% 53% 1% 0% – –
Florida Atlantic University Oct 9–10, 2020 644 (LV) ± 3.8% 47% 51% - - 2% –
/ Oct 4–8, 2020 800 (LV) – 46% 48% 1% 1% 1% 4%
44% 50% 1% 1% 1% 4%
47% 46% 1% 1% 1% 4%
/ Oct 6–7, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 49% 46% 1% - – 10%
YouGov/CCES Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2020 3,755 (LV) – 47% 49% - - – –
Ipsos/Reuters Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2020 678 (LV) ± 4.3% 45% 49% - - 1% 5%
Oct 4–6, 2020 998 (LV) ± 3.1% 44% 49% 1% 0% 1% 6%
Quinnipiac University Oct 1–5, 2020 1,256 (LV) ± 2.8% 40% 51% - - 1% 7%
Change Research/CNBC Oct 2–4, 2020 560 (LV) – 46% 50% - - – –
Suffolk University/USA Today[2] Oct 1–4, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 45% 45% 2% 0% 2% 6%
46% 45% - - 2% 7%
University of North Florida Oct 1–4, 2020 3,134 (LV) ± 1.8% 45% 51% - - 1% 3%
St. Leo University Sep 27 – Oct 2, 2020 489 (LV) – 44% 50% - - – 5%
Siena College/NYT Upshot Sep 30 – Oct 1, 2020 710 (LV) ± 4.2% 42% 47% 2% 1% 0% 8%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Sep 1–30, 2020 12,962 (LV) – 47% 51% - - – 2%
/Florida Chamber of Commerce Sep 23–29, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 44% 49% - - – –
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./ Sep 23–26, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.3% 43% 46% 3% - – 8%
Sep 23–25, 2020 1,073 (LV) ± 2.99% 43% 48% 1% 1% 1% 7%
Sep 21–22, 2020 2,906 (LV) ± 1.8% 47% 50% - - 2% 2%
Data For Progress Sep 15–22, 2020 620 (LV) ± 3.9% 43% 46% - - – 11%
Change Research/CNBC Sep 18–20, 2020 702 (LV) – 46% 49% - - – –
ABC/Washington Post Sep 15–20, 2020 613 (LV) ± 4.5% 51% 47% - - 1% 1%
/Human Rights Campaign Sep 17–19, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 45% 51% - - – –
YouGov/CBS Sep 15–18, 2020 1,205 (LV) ± 3.7% 46% 48% - - 1% 5%
Ipsos/Reuters Sep 11–17, 2020 586 (LV) ± 4.6% 47% 47% - - 2% 4%
Sep 12–14, 2020 1,158 (LV) ± 2.88% 44% 47% 1% 1% 1% 6%
Monmouth University Sep 10–13, 2020 428 (RV) ± 4.7% 45% 50% 2% 0% 1% 3%
428 (LV) 45% 50% - - 1% 3%
46% 49% - - 1% 3%
Kaiser Family Foundation/Cook Political Report Aug 29 – Sep 13, 2020 1,009 (RV) ± 4.0% 42% 43% - - 4% 11%
Florida Atlantic University Sep 11–12, 2020 631 (LV) ± 3.8% 50% 50% - - 0% –
/Florida Politics/AARP Sep 7–8, 2020 2,689 (LV) ± 1.9% 47% 50% - - 2% 2%
//AARP Aug 30 – Sep 8, 2020 1,600 (LV) ± 2.5% 46% 48% - - 2% 4%
Morning Consult Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020 3,914 (LV) ± (2%-4%) 43% 50% - - – –
Change Research/CNBC Sep 4–6, 2020 1,144 (LV) – 46% 49% - - 4% –
Marist College/NBC Aug 31 – Sep 5, 2020 760 (LV) ± 4.5% 48% 48% - - 1% 2%
Trafalgar Group Sep 1–3, 2020 1,022 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 46% 2% - 1% 2%
Aug 30 – Sep 3, 2020 1,093 (LV) ± 2.96% 43% 48% 1% 1% 1% 6%
Aug 26 – Sep 3, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 46% 51% - - – –
Quinnipiac Aug 28 – Sep 1, 2020 1,235 (LV) ± 2.8% 45% 48% - - 1% 5%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Aug 1–31, 2020 12,286 (LV) – 50% 48% - - – 2%
Morning Consult Aug 21–30, 2020 3,790 (LV) ± (2%–4%) 47% 49% - - – –
Opinium/The Guardian[3] Aug 21–26, 2020 684 (LV) – 43% 50% - - 1% 6%
Change Research/CNBC Aug 21–23, 2020 1,262 (LV) – 46% 49% - - – –
PPP Aug 21–22, 2020 671 (V) ± 3.8% 44% 48% - - – 7%
Aug 16, 2020 1,280 (LV) – 41% 49% 1% - 1% 7%
Morning Consult Aug 7–16, 2020 3,484 (LV) ± (2%–4%) 45% 50% - - – –
/ Aug 11–15, 2020 750 (LV) ± 4% 44% 46% 2% - 1% 6%
Change Research/CNBC Aug 7–9, 2020 469 (LV) – 44% 50% - - – –
/Heritage Action Aug 2–4, 2020 400 (LV) – 49% 49% - - – 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jul 1–31, 2020 13,945 (LV) – 48% 49% - - – 2%
Change Research/CNBC Jul 24–26, 2020 685 (LV) – 45% 48% - - – –
Morning Consult Jul 17–26, 2020 3,760 (LV) ± 1.6% 46% 49% - - – –
Morning Consult Jul 16–25, 2020 – (LV) – 45% 49% - - – –
CNN/SSRS Jul 18–24, 2020 880 (RV) ± 3.8% 46% 51% - - 2% 2%
Jul 21–23, 2020 811 (RV) ± 3.4% 43% 43% 3% 2% – 9%
Mason-Dixon Jul 20–23, 2020 625 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 50% - - – 4%
Jul 19–21, 2020 1,121 (LV) – 41% 48% 1% 1% 1% 8%
Quinnipiac University Jul 16–20, 2020 924 (RV) ± 4.3% 38% 51% - - 6% 5%
Morning Consult Jul 6–15, 2020 – (LV) – 45% 50% - - – –
Florida Politics// Jul 13–14, 2020 3,018 (RV) ± 1.8% 44% 50% - - 2% 3%
Jul 13, 2020 513 (LV) ± 4.3% 43% 53% - - – 4%
Change Research/CNBC Jul 10–12, 2020 1,128 (LV) – 43% 50% - - – –
YouGov/CBS Jul 7–10, 2020 1,206 (LV) ± 3.6% 42% 48% - - 2% 8%
Morning Consult Jun 26 – Jul 5, 2020 – (LV) – 46% 49% - - – –
Trafalgar Group Jun 29 – Jul 2, 2020 1,072 (LV) ± 2.91% 46% 46% - - 5% 3%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jun 8–30, 2020 5,663 (LV) – 51% 47% - - – 2%
Change Research/CNBC Jun 26–28, 2020 951 (LV) – 45% 50% - - – –
Morning Consult Jun 16–25, 2020 – (LV) – 45% 49% - - – –
Fox News Jun 20–23, 2020 1,010 (RV) ± 3% 40% 49% - - 6% 6%
Siena College/NYT Upshot Jun 8–18, 2020 651 (RV) ± 4.6% 41% 47% - - 4% 7%
Jun 14–15, 2020 1,079 (LV) ± 2.98% 41% 45% 1% 1% 1% 11%
Morning Consult Jun 6–15, 2020 – (LV) – 45% 50% - - – –
Change Research/CNBC Jun 12–14, 2020 713 (LV) – 43% 50% - - 3% –
/OANN Released Jun 11, 2020 – (V) – 50% 50% - - – –
/ Jun 9–11, 2020 875 (LV) – 40% 51% - - 4% 5%
Morning Consult May 27 – Jun 5, 2020 – (LV) – 48% 47% - - – –
Change Research/CNBC May 29–31, 2020 1,186 (LV) – 45% 48% - - 2% 4%
(R) May 18–30, 2020 881 (LV) ± 3.3% 43.8% 47% - - 3.3% 5.9%
May 26–27, 2020 4,763 (RV) ± 1.4% 46.7% 47.5% - - 2.7% 3.1%
Morning Consult May 17–26, 2020 3,593 (LV) – 48% 47% - - – –
Morning Consult May 16–25, 2020 – (LV) – 48% 47% - - – –
May 14–17, 2020 2,149 (LV) ± 3.5% 44% 45% 1% <1% 2% 8%
May 14–17, 2020 2,149 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 52% - - – –
Morning Consult May 6–15, 2020 – (LV) – 50% 45% - - – –
May 10–14, 2020 1,014 (LV) ± 3.1% 43% 45% - - 3% 10%
Florida Atlantic University May 8–12, 2020 928 (RV) ± 3.1% 47% 53% - - – –
Fox News Apr 18–21, 2020 1,004 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 46% - - 3% 7%
Quinnipiac University Apr 16–20, 2020 1,385 (RV) ± 2.6% 42% 46% - - 3% 7%
Apr 16–17, 2020 5,659 (RV) ± 1.3% 48% 48% - - – 4%
University of North Florida Mar 31 – Apr 4, 2020 3,244 (RV) ± 1.7% 40% 46% - - – 8%
AtlasIntel Mar 14–16, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 45% - - 10% –
Univision Mar 6–12, 2020 1,071 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 45% - - – 7%
Florida Atlantic University Mar 5–7, 2020 1,216 (RV) ± 2.7% 51% 49% - - – –
University of North Florida Feb, 2020 696 (LV) – 45% 45% - - – 10%
Saint Leo University Feb 17–22, 2020 900 (LV) ± 3.5% 40% 51% - - – 8%
University of North Florida Feb 10–18, 2020 668 (RV) – 48% 49% - - – 3%
Florida Atlantic University Jan 9–12, 2020 1,285 (RV) ± 2.6% 49% 51% - - – –
/Florida Chamber of Commerce Jan 3–12, 2020 608 (LV) ± 4% 49% 45% - - – –
Mason-Dixon Dec 11–16, 2019 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 45% 47% - - – 8%
Siena College/NYT Upshot Oct 13–26, 2019 650 (LV) ± 4.4% 44% 46% - - – –
University of North Florida Oct 14–20, 2019 643 (RV) ± 3.8% 43% 48% - - 6% 3%
Florida Atlantic University Sep 12–15, 2019 934 (RV) ± 3.1% 50.5% 49.5% - - – –
Quinnipiac University Jun 12–17, 2019 1,279 (RV) ± 3.3% 41% 50% - - 1% 6%
Jun 15–16, 2019 3,095 (LV) ± 1.8% 47% 47% - - – 6%
Florida Atlantic University May 16–19, 2019 1,007 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 50% - - – –
Apr 27–30, 2019 200 (LV) ± 6.9% 48% 44% - - – 7%
Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Michael
Bloomberg (D) 		Other Undecided
Saint Leo University Feb 17–22, 2020 900 (LV) ± 3.5% 36% 52% – 12%
University of North Florida Feb 10–18, 2020 672 (RV) – 44% 50% – 6%
/Florida Chamber of Commerce Jan 3–12, 2020 608 (LV) ± 4% 49% 44% – –

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Pete
Buttigieg (D) 		Other Undecided
Saint Leo University Feb 17–22, 2020 900 (LV) ± 3.5% 40% 45% – 15%
University of North Florida Feb 10–18, 2020 664 (RV) – 49% 45% – 7%
Florida Atlantic University Jan 9–12, 2020 1,285 (RV) ± 2.6% 50% 50% – –
/Florida Chamber of Commerce Jan 3–12, 2020 608 (LV) ± 4% 50% 43% – –
Mason-Dixon Dec 11–16, 2019 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 49% 45% – 6%
University of North Florida Oct 14–20, 2019 643 (RV) ± 3.8% 43% 42% 7% 9%
Quinnipiac University Jun 12–17, 2019 1,279 (RV) ± 3.3% 43% 44% 1% 9%
Florida Atlantic University May 16–19, 2019 1,007 (RV) ± 3.0% 52% 48% – –

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Kamala
Harris (D) 		Other Undecided
University of North Florida Oct 14–20, 2019 643 (RV) ± 3.8% 44% 41% 8% 7%
Florida Atlantic University Sep 12–15, 2019 934 (RV) ± 3.1% 52% 48% – –
Quinnipiac University Jun 12–17, 2019 1,279 (RV) ± 3.3% 44% 45% 1% 7%
Florida Atlantic University May 16–19, 2019 1,007 (RV) ± 3.0% 53% 47% – –

Donald Trump vs. Amy Klobuchar

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Amy
Klobuchar (D) 		Other Undecided
Saint Leo University Feb 17–22, 2020 900 (LV) ± 3.5% 41% 43% – 16%
University of North Florida Feb 10–18, 2020 662 (RV) – 48% 44% – 8%

Donald Trump vs. Beto O'Rourke

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Beto
O'Rourke (D) 		Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University Jun 12–17, 2019 1,279 (RV) ± 3.3% 44% 45% 1% 7%

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Bernie
Sanders (D) 		Other Undecided
AtlasIntel Mar 14–16, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 41% 11% –
Univision Mar 6–12, 2020 1,071 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 42% – 8%
Florida Atlantic University Mar 5–7, 2020 1,216 (LV) ± 2.7% 53% 47% – –
Saint Leo University Feb 17–22, 2020 900 (LV) ± 3.5% 40% 49% – 11%
University of North Florida Feb 10–18, 2020 671 (RV) – 48% 48% – 4%
Florida Atlantic University Jan 9–12, 2020 1,285 (RV) ± 2.6% 47% 53% – –
Mason-Dixon Dec 11–16, 2019 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 49% 44% – 7%
Siena College/NYT Upshot Oct 13–26, 2019 650 (LV) ± 4.4% 45% 44% – –
Florida Atlantic University Sep 12–15, 2019 934 (RV) ± 3.1% 50.5% 49.5% – –
Quinnipiac University Jun 12–17, 2019 1,279 (RV) ± 3.3% 42% 48% 1% 6%
Florida Atlantic University May 16–19, 2019 1,007 (RV) ± 3.0% 51% 49% – –

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Elizabeth
Warren (D) 		Other Undecided
Saint Leo University Feb 17–22, 2020 900 (LV) ± 3.5% 42% 44% – 14%
University of North Florida Feb 10–18, 2020 661 (RV) – 47% 47% – 6%
Florida Atlantic University Jan 9–12, 2020 1,285 (RV) ± 2.6% 49% 51% – –
/Florida Chamber of Commerce Jan 3–12, 2020 608 (LV) ± 4% 50% 43% – –
Mason-Dixon Dec 11–16, 2019 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 51% 42% – 7%
Siena College/NYT Upshot Oct 13–26, 2019 650 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 42% – –
University of North Florida Oct 14–20, 2019 643 (RV) ± 3.8% 43% 46% 6% 6%
Florida Atlantic University Sep 12–15, 2019 934 (RV) ± 3.1% 50% 50% – –
Quinnipiac University Jun 12–17, 2019 1,279 (RV) ± 3.3% 43% 47% 1% 6%
Florida Atlantic University May 16–19, 2019 1,007 (RV) ± 3.0% 52% 48% – –
Aug 17–23, 2017 828 (LV) ± 3.4% 39% 48% – 14%
Hypothetical polling

with Donald Trump and Oprah Winfrey

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Oprah
Winfrey (D) 		Other Undecided
Jan 9–10, 2018 785 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 24% 15% 13%

with Donald Trump and generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Generic
Democrat 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) Jun 14–16, 2019 679 (V) ± 3.8% 44% 51% 6%
Mason-Dixon Jan 14–17, 2019 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 45% 46% 9%

with Donald Trump and generic Opponent

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Generic
Opponent 		Undecided
Quinnipiac University Mar 6–11, 2019 1,058 (V) ± 3.7% 31% 51% 18%

with Mike Pence and Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Mike
Pence (R) 		Joe
Biden (D) 		Other Undecided
University of North Florida Oct 14–20, 2019 643 (RV) ± 3.8% 39% 49% 8% 5%

with Mike Pence and Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Mike
Pence (R) 		Kamala
Harris (D) 		Undecided
St. Leo University Sep 27 – Oct 2, 2020 489 (LV) ± 3.0% 46.8% 46.7% 6.5%

with Mike Pence and Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Mike
Pence (R) 		Elizabeth
Warren (D) 		Other Undecided
University of North Florida Oct 14–20, 2019 643 (RV) ± 3.8% 40% 46% 8% 6%

Results

2020 United States presidential election in Florida
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Donald Trump
Mike Pence 		5,668,731 51.22% +2.20%
Democratic Joe Biden
Kamala Harris 		5,297,045 47.86% +0.04%
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen 		70,324 0.64% −1.56%
Green Howie Hawkins
Angela Walker 		14,721 0.13% −0.55%
Reform Rocky De La Fuente
Darcy Richardson 		5,966 0.05% −0.05%
Socialism and Liberation Gloria La Riva
Sunil Freeman 		5,712 0.05% N/A
Constitution Don Blankenship
William Mohr 		3,902 0.04% −0.13%
Write-in 1,055 0.01% −0.26%
Total votes 11,067,456 100.00%

By county

County Donald Trump
Republican 		Joe Biden
Democratic 		Various candidates
Other parties 		Margin Total votes cast
# % # % # % # %
Alachua 50,972 35.63% 89,704 62.71% 2,371 1.66% -38,732 -27.08% 143,047
Baker 11,911 84.58% 2,037 14.47% 134 0.95% 9,874 70.11% 14,082
Bay 66,097 70.91% 25,614 27.48% 1,502 1.61% 40,483 43.43% 93,213
Bradford 10,334 75.71% 3,160 23.15% 156 1.14% 7,174 52.56% 13,650
Brevard 207,883 57.48% 148,549 41.08% 5,221 1.44% 59,334 16.40% 361,653
Broward 333,409 34.74% 618,752 64.48% 7,479 0.78% -285,343 -29.74% 959,640
Calhoun 5,274 80.68% 1,209 18.49% 54 0.83% 4,065 62.19% 6,537
Charlotte 73,243 62.84% 42,273 36.27% 1,042 0.89% 30,970 26.57% 116,558
Citrus 65,352 69.98% 27,092 29.01% 944 1.01% 38,260 40.97% 93,388
Clay 84,480 67.77% 38,317 30.74% 1,863 1.49% 46,163 37.03% 124,660
Collier 128,950 61.91% 77,621 37.27% 1,714 0.82% 51,329 24.64% 208,285
Columbia 23,836 72.03% 8,914 26.94% 342 1.03% 14,822 45.09% 33,092
DeSoto 8,313 65.58% 4,259 33.60% 104 0.82% 4,054 31.98% 12,676
Dixie 6,759 82.70% 1,365 16.70% 49 0.60% 5,394 66.00% 8,173
Duval 233,762 47.30% 252,556 51.11% 7,843 1.59% -18,794 -3.81% 494,161
Escambia 96,674 56.58% 70,929 41.51% 3,253 1.91% 25,745 15.07% 170,856
Flagler 43,043 59.90% 28,161 39.19% 659 0.91% 14,882 20.71% 71,863
Franklin 4,675 68.16% 2,120 30.91% 64 0.93% 2,555 37.25% 6,859
Gadsden 7,465 31.42% 16,153 67.98% 144 0.60% -8,688 -36.56% 23,762
Gilchrist 7,895 81.37% 1,700 17.52% 107 1.11% 6,195 63.85% 9,702
Glades 3,782 72.69% 1,385 26.62% 36 0.69% 2,397 46.07% 5,203
Gulf 6,113 74.80% 1,985 24.29% 74 0.91% 4,128 50.51% 8,172
Hamilton 3,815 65.33% 1,963 33.61% 62 1.06% 1,852 31.72% 5,840
Hardee 6,122 72.01% 2,298 27.03% 82 0.96% 3,824 44.98% 8,502
Hendry 7,906 61.02% 4,929 38.04% 121 0.94% 2,977 22.98% 12,956
Hernando 70,412 64.51% 37,519 34.37% 1,219 1.12% 32,893 30.14% 109,150
Highlands 34,873 66.75% 16,938 32.42% 432 0.83% 17,935 34.33% 52,243
Hillsborough 327,398 45.85% 376,367 52.71% 10,303 1.44% -48,969 -6.86% 714,068
Holmes 8,080 89.01% 924 10.18% 74 0.81% 7,156 78.83% 9,078
Indian River 58,872 60.23% 37,844 38.72% 1,024 1.05% 21,028 21.51% 97,740
Jackson 15,488 68.97% 6,766 30.13% 202 0.90% 8,722 38.84% 22,456
Jefferson 4,479 52.89% 3,897 46.02% 92 1.09% 382 6.87% 8,468
Lafayette 3,128 85.42% 510 13.93% 24 0.65% 2,618 71.49% 3,662
Lake 125,859 59.56% 83,505 39.52% 1,950 0.92% 42,354 20.04% 211,314
Lee 233,247 59.09% 157,695 39.95% 3,816 0.96% 75,552 19.14% 394,758
Leon 57,453 35.14% 103,517 63.32% 2,506 1.54% -46,064 -28.18% 163,476
Levy 16,749 72.24% 6,205 26.76% 231 1.00% 10,544 45.48% 23,185
Liberty 2,846 79.83% 694 19.47% 25 0.70% 2,152 60.36% 3,565
Madison 5,576 59.36% 3,747 39.89% 70 0.75% 1,829 19.47% 9,393
Manatee 124,987 57.47% 90,166 41.46% 2,319 1.07% 34,821 16.01% 217,472
Marion 127,826 62.44% 74,858 36.57% 2,032 0.99% 52,968 25.87% 204,716
Martin 61,168 61.82% 36,893 37.29% 881 0.89% 24,275 24.53% 98,942
Miami-Dade 532,833 45.98% 617,864 53.31% 8,221 0.71% -85,931 -7.33% 1,158,918
Monroe 25,693 53.38% 21,881 45.46% 561 1.16% 3,812 7.92% 48,135
Nassau 42,566 72.25% 15,564 26.42% 785 1.33% 27,002 45.83% 58,915
Okaloosa 79,798 68.35% 34,248 29.34% 2,697 2.31% 45,550 39.01% 116,743
Okeechobee 11,470 71.76% 4,390 27.46% 124 0.78% 7,080 44.30% 15,984
Orange 245,398 37.80% 395,014 60.85% 8,745 1.35% -149,616 -23.05% 649,157
Osceola 73,480 42.53% 97,297 56.31% 2,007 1.16% -23,817 -13.78% 172,784
Palm Beach 334,711 43.21% 433,572 55.97% 6,314 0.82% -98,861 -12.76% 774,597
Pasco 179,621 59.36% 119,073 39.35% 3,927 1.29% 60,548 20.01% 302,621
Pinellas 276,209 49.22% 277,450 49.44% 7,502 1.34% -1,241 -0.22% 561,161
Polk 194,586 56.56% 145,049 42.16% 4,391 1.28% 49,537 14.40% 344,026
Putnam 25,514 70.05% 10,527 28.90% 381 1.05% 14,987 41.15% 36,422
St. Johns 110,946 62.66% 63,850 36.06% 2,251 1.28% 47,096 26.60% 177,047
St. Lucie 86,831 50.38% 84,137 48.82% 1,381 0.80% 2,694 1.56% 172,349
Santa Rosa 77,385 72.19% 27,612 25.76% 2,201 2.05% 49,773 46.43% 107,198
Sarasota 148,370 54.71% 120,110 44.29% 2,689 1.00% 28,260 10.42% 271,169
Seminole 125,241 47.89% 132,528 50.67% 3,764 1.44% -7,287 -2.78% 261,533
Sumter 62,761 67.76% 29,341 31.68% 522 0.56% 33,420 36.08% 92,624
Suwannee 16,410 77.84% 4,485 21.27% 188 0.89% 11,925 56.57% 21,083
Taylor 7,751 76.45% 2,299 22.68% 88 0.87% 5,452 53.77% 10,138
Union 5,133 82.11% 1,053 16.85% 65 1.04% 4,080 65.26% 6,251
Volusia 173,821 56.42% 130,575 42.38% 3,713 1.20% 43,246 14.04% 308,109
Wakulla 12,874 69.79% 5,351 29.01% 223 1.20% 7,523 40.78% 18,448
Walton 32,947 75.23% 10,338 23.61% 510 1.16% 22,609 51.62% 43,795
Washington 9,876 80.06% 2,347 19.03% 112 0.91% 7,529 61.03% 12,335
Totals 5,668,731 51.11% 5,297,045 47.75% 126,445 1.14% 371,686 3.36% 11,092,221
imageSwing by county
Legend
  •   Democratic — +10–12.5%
  •   Democratic — +7.5–10%
  •   Democratic — +5–7.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5–5%
  •   Democratic — +0–2.5%
  •   Republican — +0–2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5–5%
  •   Republican — +5–7.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5–10%
  •   Republican — +10–12.5%
  •   Republican — +>15%
imageTrend relative to the state by county
Legend
  •   Democratic — +10–12.5%
  •   Democratic — +7.5–10%
  •   Democratic — +5–7.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5–5%
  •   Democratic — +0–2.5%
  •   Republican — +0–2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5–5%
  •   Republican — +5–7.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5–10%
  •   Republican — +10–12.5%
  •   Republican — +>15%
imageCounty flips
Legend

  • Democratic

      Hold
      Gain from Republican

    Republican

      Hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • Duval (largest municipality: Jacksonville)
  • Pinellas (largest municipality: St. Petersburg)
  • Seminole (largest municipality: Sanford)

By congressional district

Trump won 15 of 27 congressional districts, while Biden won 12, including one that elected a Republican.

District Trump Biden Representative
1st 65.9% 32.4% Matt Gaetz
2nd 67% 32% Neal Dunn
3rd 56% 42.8% Ted Yoho
Kat Cammack
4th 59.9% 38.9% John Rutherford
5th 36.2% 62.7% Al Lawson
6th 58.3% 40.8% Michael Waltz
7th 44.2% 54.6% Stephanie Murphy
8th 58.3% 40.6% Bill Posey
9th 46% 52.9% Darren Soto
10th 37% 62% Val Demings
11th 65.4% 33.8% Daniel Webster
12th 57.9% 41% Gus Bilirakis
13th 47.4% 51.5% Charlie Crist
14th 41.6% 57.2% Kathy Castor
15th 53.7% 45.2% Ross Spano
Scott Franklin
16th 53.6% 45.5% Vern Buchanan
17th 63.3% 35.9% Greg Steube
18th 53.9% 45.5% Brian Mast
19th 59.7% 39.6% Francis Rooney
Byron Donalds
20th 22.1% 77.3% Alcee Hastings
21st 41.2% 58.2% Lois Frankel
22nd 42.3% 57.2% Ted Deutch
23rd 41.2% 58.3% Debbie Wasserman Schultz
24th 24% 75.4% Frederica Wilson
25th 61.2% 38.2% Mario Díaz-Balart
26th 52.5% 46.9% Debbie Mucarsel-Powell
Carlos Giménez
27th 48.1% 51.3% Donna Shalala
Maria Elvira Salazar

Analysis

This election was the first time since 1992, and only the second time since 1960, that Florida went to the losing candidate in a presidential election. It was also the first time since 1960 that both Ohio and Florida have voted for the losing candidate in a presidential election, the first time since 1992 that Florida voted Republican while neighboring Georgia voted Democratic, and the first time since 1992 that Florida voted more Republican than North Carolina. Trump also became the first Republican candidate to win Florida with a majority of the state's popular vote since George W. Bush did so in 2004.

Despite his loss statewide, Biden became the first Democrat to win Duval County—consolidated with Jacksonville—since Southerner Jimmy Carter in 1976, and the first Democrat to win Seminole County since Harry Truman in 1948. Biden also flipped Pinellas County back to the Democratic Party. Biden became the first Democrat to win the presidency without carrying Jefferson County since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964, and the first Democrat to win the presidency without carrying Monroe County since Grover Cleveland in 1884.

Also, this is the first time since 1888 that Florida increased its margin to an incumbent that lost re-election nationally. Florida was one of six states where Trump received a higher percentage of the vote than he did in 2016. Florida is one of three states that voted twice for both Barack Obama and Trump, the other two being Ohio and Iowa.

Ex-felons

The United States Court of Appeals for the 11th Circuit, located in Atlanta, ruled that ex-felons could not vote in Florida unless they pay fines and fees. Florida voters approved amendment 4 in November 2018, which restored voting for felons upon completion of all terms of sentence including parole or probation, except for those who committed murders or were involved in sex crimes. The Republican-controlled legislature then passed a law which required ex-felons to settle their financial obligation in courts. The United States District Court in Tallahassee ruled against it in May, but the circuit court overturned it in September, which was speculated to have created further problems for ex-felons when they voted in November. Civil rights organizations including American Civil Liberties Union opposed the decision by the court.

Miami-Dade County

In Miami-Dade County, the majority of Trump support came from the west and the majority of Biden support came from the east. People of Mexican, Haitian, and African descent tended to vote for Biden, while people of Cuban, Chilean and Colombian descent did so for Trump, as well as the critical Venezuelan vote swinging Republican. Trump won approximately two thirds of the vote in Hialeah, whereas it was nearly evenly split four years prior. Due to the heavy presence of the Cuban-American community, Hialeah traditionally, as of 2020, leaned towards Republican politics. Trump's coattails played a role in the election of Miami Republicans Carlos A. Giménez and Maria Elvira Salazar to the House of Representatives.

Residents of Cuban descent often had an antagonism against leftist movements due to associations with Fidel Castro. Trump sought to attract these voters by implementing anti-Cuba policies.

Additionally, Trump made efforts to target other Hispanic demographics. Trump significantly increased his share of the vote in majority-Hispanic Osceola County, winning 42.53% of the vote, the highest since 2004.

Edison exit polls

2020 presidential election in Florida by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)
Demographic subgroup Biden Trump % of

total vote

Total vote 47.86 51.22 100
Ideology
Liberals 83 16 19
Moderates 59 40 42
Conservatives 16 83 39
Party
Democrats 94 5 30
Republicans 7 93 38
Independents 54 43 32
Gender
Men 45 54 45
Women 51 48 55
Race/ethnicity
White 37 62 62
Black 89 10 14
Latino 53 46 19
Asian – – 1
Other 55 44 3
Age
18–24 years old 57 42 7
25–29 years old 64 35 6
30–39 years old 48 50 13
40–49 years old 48 51 13
50–64 years old 45 54 28
65 and older 45 55 32
Sexual orientation
LGBT 83 15 6
Not LGBT 46 53 94
Education
High school or less 44 56 19
Some college education 50 49 25
Associate degree 45 53 20
Bachelor's degree 49 50 22
Postgraduate degree 53 45 14
Issue regarded as most important
Racial inequality 86 12 13
Coronavirus 88 10 18
Economy 13 87 38
Crime and safety 12 88 10
Health care 83 16 13
Region
North/Panhandle 41 58 18
Orlando/Central Atlantic 51 48 19
Tampa Bay area 48 51 16
Gulf Coast/Mid-Florida 39 60 20
Miami/Gold Coast 58 41 27
Area type
Urban 55 44 41
Suburban 44 55 50
Rural 38 61 9
Family's financial situation today
Better than four years ago 18 81 44
Worse than four years ago 84 15 19
About the same 67 32 36

See also

  • United States presidential elections in Florida
  • 2020 United States presidential election
  • 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries
  • 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries
  • 2020 United States elections

Notes

  1. The other five states were Arkansas, California, Hawaii, Nevada, and Utah.
  2. Candidate withdrew after Super Tuesday when early voting had begun in a few counties.
  3. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  4. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  5. Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  6. "Someone else" with 1%
  7. Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  8. "Refused/would not vote" with 2%; "Another candidate" with 0%
  9. "Other candidate or write-in" with 0%
  10. Standard VI response
  11. West (B) with 1%; "Some other candidate" and would not vote with 0%
  12. If only Biden, Trump and "some other candidate" were available
  13. "Some other candidate" with 2%; would not vote with 0%
  14. Results considering those who lean towards a given candidate among those initially predisposed towards abstention, indecision or a candidate besides Biden or Trump in the response section immediately above
  15. "Some other candidate" with 2%
  16. "Someone else" with 3%
  17. "Someone else" and would not vote with 0%
  18. Includes "Refused"
  19. Results generated with high Democratic turnout model
  20. Results generated with high Republican turnout model
  21. "Not sure/Someone else/Undecided" with 2%
  22. "None of these" and "Other" with 0%; would not vote with no voters
  23. "Other candidate" with 1%; "No one" with 0%
  24. With a likely voter turnout model featuring high turnout
  25. With a likely voter turnout model featuring low turnout
  26. "Some other candidate" and West (B) with 1%; would not vote with 0%
  27. "Some other candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 0%
  28. "Someone else" with 2%
  29. "Refused/would not vote" with 2%; "Another candidate" with 1%
  30. Not yet released
  31. "Refused" with 3%
  32. "Other third party" with 2%
  33. "Third party" with 2%
  34. "Some other candidate" with 1%
  35. "Some other candidate" with 3%
  36. "Some other candidate" with 1%; would not vote with 0%
  37. "Other" and "None of these" with 0%
  38. "Some other candidate" with 2%; West (B) and would not vote with 0%
  39. "Third party" with 1%
  40. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  41. "One of the other party or independent tickets" with 1%
  42. "Someone else" with 4%
  43. Under a +2 Democratic turnout model
  44. Under a conservative +2 Republican turnout model
  45. "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 1%
  46. No voters
  47. "Refused" with 2%; La Riva (PSOL) with 1%; Blankenship (C), Fuente (A) and "other" with no voters
  48. With the preferences of La Riva and Jorgensen voters in an election featuring only Biden and Trump
  49. "Refused" with 2%; "Other" with 0%
  50. "Neither" with 1%; "other" and would not vote with no voters
  51. "Someone else/third party" with 1%
  52. "No one" with 1%
  53. With a likely voter turnout model featuring higher turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
  54. "Other" with 1%
  55. With a likely voter turnout model featuring lower turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
  56. "Someone else" with 2%; "Refused" and would not vote with 1%
  57. "Someone else" with 0%
  58. Would not vote with 2%
  59. Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  60. "Other/not sure" with 4%
  61. "Another Party Candidate" with 1%
  62. "Refused" with 1%
  63. "Other" and "Neither" 1%
  64. "Someone else" with 4%; would not vote with 2%
  65. "Third-party candidate" with 2%
  66. "Someone else/third party" with 2%; would not vote with 0%
  67. "Other party candidate" with 5%
  68. "Other" with 4%; would not vote with 2%
  69. "Another candidate" and would not vote with 2%
  70. "Libertarian Party candidate/Green Party candidate" with 3%
  71. "Other" with 3%; "prefer not to answer" with 1%
  72. "Third party candidate" with 3.3%
  73. "Third party" with 2.7%
  74. "Libertarian nominee" with 1.2%
  75. "Green nominee" with 0.4%
  76. "Third party/write-in" with 3%
  77. Would not vote with 6%
  78. Would not vote with 7%
  79. Would not vote with 8%
  80. "Would definitely not vote for Trump" with 51%
  81. "Consider voting for Trump" with 14%; "don't know/no answer" with 4%
  82. The other five states were Arkansas, California, Hawaii, Nevada, and Utah, as well as Washington DC.

Partisan clients

  1. The Center for American Greatness is a pro-Trump organization
  2. Compete Everywhere primarily supports Democratic candidates
  3. Climate Power 2020 was created by the League of Conservation Voters, which endorsed Biden prior to the sampling period
  4. Poll sponsored by the Defend Students Action Fund.
  5. The Human Rights Campaign endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period
  6. The Consumer Energy Alliance is a pro-Keystone XL lobbying group
  7. Heritage Action is the sister organization of the Heritage Foundation, which exclusively endorses Republican candidates
  8. Poll sponsored by the Florida Chamber of Commerce PAC
  9. Poll sponsored by the League of Conservation Voters

References

  1. November 3, 2020 General Election, Florida Department of State, Division of Elections.
  2. Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  4. "Cruise ship hotels, zoo parties and an NBA arena: Miami's Democratic convention pitch". miamiherald. Retrieved July 1, 2018.
  5. "City of Milwaukee 1 of 3 finalists to host 2020 Democratic National Convention". FOX6Now.com. June 20, 2018. Retrieved July 1, 2018.
  6. Glauber, Bill (August 22, 2018). "Selection committee for 2020 Democratic Convention will visit Milwaukee next week". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved August 24, 2018.
  7. Haberman, Maggie (November 4, 2019). "Trump, Lifelong New Yorker, Declares Himself a Resident of Florida". The New York Times.
  8. Nagourney, Adam; Goldmacher, Shane; Thrush, Glenn (November 4, 2020). "Big gains among Latinos in the Miami area power Trump to victory in Florida". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 9, 2020.
  9. "Florida Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 9, 2020.
  10. "Florida 2020 President exit polls". www.cnn.com. Retrieved November 8, 2020.
  11. "March 17, 2020 Primary Election". Florida Department of State. Florida Division of Elections. March 31, 2020. Retrieved April 8, 2020.
  12. "Florida Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved March 11, 2020.
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Further reading

  • David Weigel; Lauren Tierney (August 30, 2020), "The six political states of Florida", Washingtonpost.com, archived from the original on September 7, 2020, retrieved September 7, 2020
  • Summary: State Laws on Presidential Electors (PDF), Washington, D.C.: National Association of Secretaries of State, August 2020, Florida
  • Nick Corasaniti; Stephanie Saul; Patricia Mazzei (September 13, 2020), "Big Voting Decisions in Florida, Wisconsin, Texas: What They Mean for November", The New York Times, archived from the original on September 13, 2020, Both parties are waging legal battles around the country over who gets to vote and how
  • Jonathan Martin; Patricia Mazzei (September 14, 2020), "A Tight Trump-Biden Race in Florida: Here's the State of Play", The New York Times, archived from the original on September 14, 2020
  • David Wasserman (October 6, 2020), "The 10 Bellwether Counties That Show How Trump Is in Serious Trouble", The New York Times. (describes bellwether Pinellas County, Florida)

Videos:

  • "Conservative Cubans, Venezuelans in Miami on why they voted for Trump". The Washington Post. November 4, 2020. Archived from the original on November 14, 2021.

External links

  • Florida Elections Commission government website
  • "League of Women Voters of Florida". (state affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
  • Florida at Ballotpedia
  • Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Florida", Voting & Elections Toolkits
  • "Florida: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA

Author: www.NiNa.Az

Publication date: May 09, 2025 / 19:31

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The 2020 United States presidential election in Florida was held on Tuesday November 3 2020 as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states and the District of Columbia participated Florida voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party s nominee incumbent president Donald Trump and his running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee former vice president Joe Biden and his running mate United States senator Kamala Harris of California Florida had 29 electoral votes in the Electoral College 2020 United States presidential election in Florida 2016 November 3 2020 2024 Turnout77 17 of registered voters 2 69 pp Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden Party Republican Democratic Home state Florida Delaware Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris Electoral vote 29 0 Popular vote 5 668 731 5 297 045 Percentage 51 22 47 86 County resultsCongressional district resultsPrecinct resultsTrump 40 50 50 60 60 70 70 80 80 90 90 100 Biden 40 50 50 60 60 70 70 80 80 90 90 100 Tie No data President before election Donald Trump Republican Elected President Joe Biden Democratic Florida was one of six states as well as Washington D C where Trump received a greater percentage of the two party vote than he did in 2016 Miami Beach Florida which hosted the 1972 Democratic National Convention was a finalist to host the 2020 Democratic National Convention The other finalists were Milwaukee and Houston Milwaukee was chosen Florida was Trump s state of residency for this election New York was his home state in 2016 Trump was the first nominee of either major party to be a Florida resident Biden was selected as the Democratic nominee in the 2020 Florida Democratic presidential primary on March 17 2020 also becoming the first former vice president to run for president since Richard Nixon in 1968 Before the election aggregate polls had Biden in the lead in Florida by 1 to 3 percentage points Despite this Trump won by a 3 4 point margin improving on his margin from 2016 by 2 2 points This was the largest margin for any presidential election in Florida since 2004 The main reason was increased support for Trump among Latino voters in the state particularly in Miami Dade County which Biden carried by 7 4 points significantly less than Clinton s 29 4 point margin in 2016 and Obama s 23 7 point margin in 2012 Trump carried the Cuban vote with 56 while Biden carried the Puerto Rican vote with 66 and Trump and Biden split the South American vote with 50 each Overall Biden won 54 of Latinos In this election Florida voted 7 8 points right of the nation as a whole the furthest it has voted from the nation since 1988 when the state voted 14 6 points right of the national result As of the 2024 presidential election this was the only election in which Florida backed the losing candidate since 1992 Despite the overall rightward shift Biden became the first Democrat since 1976 to win the heavily urbanized Duval County historically a Republican stronghold and home to Jacksonville Similarly he became the first Democrat to win Seminole County since Harry Truman in 1948 Primary electionThe primary elections were held on March 17 2020 Republican primary The Florida Secretary of State declared Rocky De La Fuente to be a major candidate and thus worthy of automatic inclusion on the ballot This section is an excerpt from 2020 Florida Republican presidential primary FLresults edit 2020 Florida Republican presidential primary Candidate Votes Estimated delegates Donald Trump incumbent 1 162 984 93 79 122 Bill Weld 39 319 3 17 Joe Walsh withdrawn 25 464 2 05 Rocky De La Fuente 12 172 0 98 Total 1 239 939 100 122 Democratic primary Three Democrats were still in the race by the time Florida held its primaries Vermont senator Bernie Sanders former vice president Joe Biden and representative from Hawaii Tulsi Gabbard The first Democratic debate took place in Miami over two nights at the end of June 2019 It was broadcast on several of the NBC networks This section is an excerpt from 2020 Florida Democratic presidential primary FLresults edit Popular vote share by county Biden 40 50 Biden 50 60 Biden 60 70 Biden 70 80 Biden 80 90 2020 Florida Democratic presidential primary Candidate Votes Delegates Joe Biden 1 077 375 61 95 162 Bernie Sanders 397 311 22 84 57 Michael Bloomberg withdrawn 146 544 8 43 Pete Buttigieg withdrawn 39 886 2 29 Elizabeth Warren withdrawn 32 875 1 89 Amy Klobuchar withdrawn 17 276 0 99 Tulsi Gabbard 8 712 0 50 Andrew Yang withdrawn 5 286 0 30 Michael Bennet withdrawn 4 244 0 24 Tom Steyer withdrawn 2 510 0 14 Marianne Williamson withdrawn 1 744 0 10 John Delaney withdrawn 1 583 0 09 Cory Booker withdrawn 1 507 0 09 Julian Castro withdrawn 1 036 0 06 Joe Sestak withdrawn 664 0 04 Deval Patrick withdrawn 661 0 04 Total 1 739 214 100 219General electionFinal predictions Source Ranking The Cook Political Report Tossup Inside Elections Tilt D flip Sabato s Crystal Ball Lean R Politico Tossup RCP Tossup Niskanen Tossup CNN Tossup The Economist Lean D flip CBS News Tossup 270towin Tossup ABC News Tossup NPR Tossup NBC News Lean D flip 538 Lean D flip Polling Graphical summary Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension which will be known as the Chart extension can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki org Aggregate polls Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Joe Biden Democratic Donald Trump Republican Other Undecided Margin 270 to Win October 24 November 1 2020 November 3 2020 48 7 46 0 5 3 Biden 2 7 Real Clear Politics October 28 November 2 2020 November 3 2020 47 9 47 0 5 1 Biden 0 9 FiveThirtyEight until November 2 2020 November 3 2020 49 1 46 6 4 3 Biden 2 5 Average 48 6 46 5 4 9 Biden 2 1 State polls Poll source Date s administered Sample size Margin of error Donald Trump Republican Joe Biden Democratic Jo Jorgensen Libertarian Howie Hawkins Green Other Undecided Fox 35 Nov 1 2 2020 400 LV 4 4 48 47 2 3 Trafalgar Group Oct 31 Nov 2 2020 1 054 LV 2 94 49 47 2 1 1 SurveyMonkey Axios Oct 20 Nov 2 2020 8 792 LV 1 5 49 49 Aspiration Oct 30 Nov 1 2020 517 LV 43 45 Change Research CNBC Oct 29 Nov 1 2020 806 LV 3 45 48 51 0 0 1 Susquehanna Polling amp Research Inc Oct 29 Nov 1 2020 400 LV 4 9 47 46 2 2 3 Quinnipiac University Oct 28 Nov 1 2020 1 657 LV 2 4 42 47 1 9 Oct 27 Nov 1 2020 1 261 LV 3 7 46 53 1 1 Data for Progress Oct 27 Nov 1 2020 1 202 LV 2 8 48 51 1 1 0 Ipsos Reuters Oct 27 Nov 1 2020 670 LV 4 3 46 50 1 0 1 46 50 2 2 47 51 2 Oct 30 31 2020 768 LV 3 5 49 51 Rasmussen Reports Oct 29 31 2020 800 LV 3 5 47 48 3 Siena College NYT Upshot Oct 27 31 2020 1 451 LV 3 2 44 47 2 1 0 6 Morning Consult Oct 22 31 2020 4 451 LV 2 45 52 Oct 29 30 2020 2 758 LV 1 9 48 49 1 2 Oct 28 30 2020 1 200 LV 2 8 47 51 2 0 45 52 2 0 48 49 2 0 Oct 25 30 2020 1 027 LV 47 51 2 AtlasIntel Oct 28 29 2020 786 LV 3 48 5 48 5 3 Public Policy Polling Oct 28 29 2020 941 V 45 52 3 The Hill Oct 26 29 2020 1 148 LV 3 47 50 3 ABC Washington Post Oct 24 29 2020 824 LV 4 50 48 1 0 0 0 Oct 27 28 2020 1 587 LV 46 50 1 0 0 3 Trafalgar Group Oct 25 28 2020 1 088 LV 2 89 50 47 2 1 1 Monmouth University Oct 24 28 2020 509 RV 4 7 45 50 1 0 1 2 509 LV 45 51 46 50 SurveyMonkey Axios Oct 1 28 2020 14 571 LV 50 48 Marist College NBC Oct 25 27 2020 743 LV 4 4 47 51 1 1 Quinnipiac University Oct 23 27 2020 1 324 LV 2 7 42 45 1 11 Ipsos Reuters Oct 21 27 2020 704 LV 4 2 47 48 1 1 2 47 49 3 2 Oct 23 26 2020 605 LV 5 4 51 46 2 1 YouGov Oct 16 26 2020 1 200 LV 3 2 46 48 6 Oct 24 25 2020 1 000 LV 3 1 50 47 Florida Atlantic University Oct 24 25 2020 937 LV 3 1 48 50 2 Susquehanna Polling amp Research Inc Oct 23 25 2020 400 LV 4 9 49 44 2 3 3 Univision University of Houston Oct 17 25 2020 743 RV 3 56 46 49 2 3 Released Oct 24 2020 V 47 45 3 4 Oct 24 2020 665 LV 3 8 48 47 5 YouGov CBS Oct 20 23 2020 1 228 LV 3 6 48 50 2 0 Florida Politics Oct 21 22 2020 2 527 LV 2 47 49 2 2 Oct 20 22 2020 800 LV 3 5 48 50 1 1 46 52 1 1 48 46 1 1 Rasmussen Reports Oct 20 21 2020 800 LV 3 5 50 46 3 3 Ipsos Reuters Oct 14 21 2020 662 LV 4 3 46 51 1 0 2 46 50 1 3 Oct 17 20 2020 1 000 LV 3 1 45 50 1 0 1 4 Civiqs Daily Kos Oct 17 20 2020 863 LV 3 5 47 51 1 1 CNN SSRS Oct 15 20 2020 847 LV 4 46 50 1 1 0 1 Morning Consult Oct 11 20 2020 4 685 LV 1 4 45 52 Change Research CNBC Oct 16 19 2020 547 LV 45 50 University of North Florida Oct 12 16 2020 863 LV 3 3 47 48 1 3 The Hill 1 Oct 12 15 2020 965 LV 48 48 4 Ipsos Reuters Oct 7 14 2020 653 LV 4 4 47 50 0 0 2 47 49 1 3 Trafalgar Group Oct 11 13 2020 1 051 LV 2 94 48 46 2 1 1 2 Oct 10 13 2020 1 519 LV 44 50 1 0 Florida Politics Oct 11 12 2020 2 215 LV 2 1 47 49 1 2 Emerson College Oct 10 12 2020 690 LV 3 7 48 51 1 Mason Dixon Oct 8 12 2020 625 LV 4 45 48 1 6 Oct 7 12 2020 550 LV 4 18 40 47 4 9 39 48 4 9 41 46 4 9 Morning Consult Oct 2 11 2020 4 785 LV 1 4 46 51 Oct 9 10 2020 750 LV 42 53 1 0 Florida Atlantic University Oct 9 10 2020 644 LV 3 8 47 51 2 Oct 4 8 2020 800 LV 46 48 1 1 1 4 44 50 1 1 1 4 47 46 1 1 1 4 Oct 6 7 2020 400 LV 4 9 49 46 1 10 YouGov CCES Sep 29 Oct 7 2020 3 755 LV 47 49 Ipsos Reuters Sep 29 Oct 7 2020 678 LV 4 3 45 49 1 5 Oct 4 6 2020 998 LV 3 1 44 49 1 0 1 6 Quinnipiac University Oct 1 5 2020 1 256 LV 2 8 40 51 1 7 Change Research CNBC Oct 2 4 2020 560 LV 46 50 Suffolk University USA Today 2 Oct 1 4 2020 500 LV 4 4 45 45 2 0 2 6 46 45 2 7 University of North Florida Oct 1 4 2020 3 134 LV 1 8 45 51 1 3 St Leo University Sep 27 Oct 2 2020 489 LV 44 50 5 Siena College NYT Upshot Sep 30 Oct 1 2020 710 LV 4 2 42 47 2 1 0 8 SurveyMonkey Axios Sep 1 30 2020 12 962 LV 47 51 2 Florida Chamber of Commerce Sep 23 29 2020 600 LV 4 44 49 Susquehanna Polling amp Research Inc Sep 23 26 2020 500 LV 4 3 43 46 3 8 Sep 23 25 2020 1 073 LV 2 99 43 48 1 1 1 7 Sep 21 22 2020 2 906 LV 1 8 47 50 2 2 Data For Progress Sep 15 22 2020 620 LV 3 9 43 46 11 Change Research CNBC Sep 18 20 2020 702 LV 46 49 ABC Washington Post Sep 15 20 2020 613 LV 4 5 51 47 1 1 Human Rights Campaign Sep 17 19 2020 400 LV 4 9 45 51 YouGov CBS Sep 15 18 2020 1 205 LV 3 7 46 48 1 5 Ipsos Reuters Sep 11 17 2020 586 LV 4 6 47 47 2 4 Sep 12 14 2020 1 158 LV 2 88 44 47 1 1 1 6 Monmouth University Sep 10 13 2020 428 RV 4 7 45 50 2 0 1 3 428 LV 45 50 1 3 46 49 1 3 Kaiser Family Foundation Cook Political Report Aug 29 Sep 13 2020 1 009 RV 4 0 42 43 4 11 Florida Atlantic University Sep 11 12 2020 631 LV 3 8 50 50 0 Florida Politics AARP Sep 7 8 2020 2 689 LV 1 9 47 50 2 2 AARP Aug 30 Sep 8 2020 1 600 LV 2 5 46 48 2 4 Morning Consult Aug 29 Sep 7 2020 3 914 LV 2 4 43 50 Change Research CNBC Sep 4 6 2020 1 144 LV 46 49 4 Marist College NBC Aug 31 Sep 5 2020 760 LV 4 5 48 48 1 2 Trafalgar Group Sep 1 3 2020 1 022 LV 3 0 49 46 2 1 2 Aug 30 Sep 3 2020 1 093 LV 2 96 43 48 1 1 1 6 Aug 26 Sep 3 2020 800 LV 3 5 46 51 Quinnipiac Aug 28 Sep 1 2020 1 235 LV 2 8 45 48 1 5 SurveyMonkey Axios Aug 1 31 2020 12 286 LV 50 48 2 Morning Consult Aug 21 30 2020 3 790 LV 2 4 47 49 Opinium The Guardian 3 Aug 21 26 2020 684 LV 43 50 1 6 Change Research CNBC Aug 21 23 2020 1 262 LV 46 49 PPP Aug 21 22 2020 671 V 3 8 44 48 7 Aug 16 2020 1 280 LV 41 49 1 1 7 Morning Consult Aug 7 16 2020 3 484 LV 2 4 45 50 Aug 11 15 2020 750 LV 4 44 46 2 1 6 Change Research CNBC Aug 7 9 2020 469 LV 44 50 Heritage Action Aug 2 4 2020 400 LV 49 49 2 SurveyMonkey Axios Jul 1 31 2020 13 945 LV 48 49 2 Change Research CNBC Jul 24 26 2020 685 LV 45 48 Morning Consult Jul 17 26 2020 3 760 LV 1 6 46 49 Morning Consult Jul 16 25 2020 LV 45 49 CNN SSRS Jul 18 24 2020 880 RV 3 8 46 51 2 2 Jul 21 23 2020 811 RV 3 4 43 43 3 2 9 Mason Dixon Jul 20 23 2020 625 LV 4 0 46 50 4 Jul 19 21 2020 1 121 LV 41 48 1 1 1 8 Quinnipiac University Jul 16 20 2020 924 RV 4 3 38 51 6 5 Morning Consult Jul 6 15 2020 LV 45 50 Florida Politics Jul 13 14 2020 3 018 RV 1 8 44 50 2 3 Jul 13 2020 513 LV 4 3 43 53 4 Change Research CNBC Jul 10 12 2020 1 128 LV 43 50 YouGov CBS Jul 7 10 2020 1 206 LV 3 6 42 48 2 8 Morning Consult Jun 26 Jul 5 2020 LV 46 49 Trafalgar Group Jun 29 Jul 2 2020 1 072 LV 2 91 46 46 5 3 SurveyMonkey Axios Jun 8 30 2020 5 663 LV 51 47 2 Change Research CNBC Jun 26 28 2020 951 LV 45 50 Morning Consult Jun 16 25 2020 LV 45 49 Fox News Jun 20 23 2020 1 010 RV 3 40 49 6 6 Siena College NYT Upshot Jun 8 18 2020 651 RV 4 6 41 47 4 7 Jun 14 15 2020 1 079 LV 2 98 41 45 1 1 1 11 Morning Consult Jun 6 15 2020 LV 45 50 Change Research CNBC Jun 12 14 2020 713 LV 43 50 3 OANN Released Jun 11 2020 V 50 50 Jun 9 11 2020 875 LV 40 51 4 5 Morning Consult May 27 Jun 5 2020 LV 48 47 Change Research CNBC May 29 31 2020 1 186 LV 45 48 2 4 R May 18 30 2020 881 LV 3 3 43 8 47 3 3 5 9 May 26 27 2020 4 763 RV 1 4 46 7 47 5 2 7 3 1 Morning Consult May 17 26 2020 3 593 LV 48 47 Morning Consult May 16 25 2020 LV 48 47 May 14 17 2020 2 149 LV 3 5 44 45 1 lt 1 2 8 May 14 17 2020 2 149 LV 3 5 48 52 Morning Consult May 6 15 2020 LV 50 45 May 10 14 2020 1 014 LV 3 1 43 45 3 10 Florida Atlantic University May 8 12 2020 928 RV 3 1 47 53 Fox News Apr 18 21 2020 1 004 RV 3 0 43 46 3 7 Quinnipiac University Apr 16 20 2020 1 385 RV 2 6 42 46 3 7 Apr 16 17 2020 5 659 RV 1 3 48 48 4 University of North Florida Mar 31 Apr 4 2020 3 244 RV 1 7 40 46 8 AtlasIntel Mar 14 16 2020 1 100 RV 3 0 45 45 10 Univision Mar 6 12 2020 1 071 RV 3 0 48 45 7 Florida Atlantic University Mar 5 7 2020 1 216 RV 2 7 51 49 University of North Florida Feb 2020 696 LV 45 45 10 Saint Leo University Feb 17 22 2020 900 LV 3 5 40 51 8 University of North Florida Feb 10 18 2020 668 RV 48 49 3 Florida Atlantic University Jan 9 12 2020 1 285 RV 2 6 49 51 Florida Chamber of Commerce Jan 3 12 2020 608 LV 4 49 45 Mason Dixon Dec 11 16 2019 625 RV 4 0 45 47 8 Siena College NYT Upshot Oct 13 26 2019 650 LV 4 4 44 46 University of North Florida Oct 14 20 2019 643 RV 3 8 43 48 6 3 Florida Atlantic University Sep 12 15 2019 934 RV 3 1 50 5 49 5 Quinnipiac University Jun 12 17 2019 1 279 RV 3 3 41 50 1 6 Jun 15 16 2019 3 095 LV 1 8 47 47 6 Florida Atlantic University May 16 19 2019 1 007 RV 3 0 50 50 Apr 27 30 2019 200 LV 6 9 48 44 7 Former candidates Donald Trump vs Michael Bloomberg Poll source Date s administered Sample size Margin of error Donald Trump R Michael Bloomberg D Other Undecided Saint Leo University Feb 17 22 2020 900 LV 3 5 36 52 12 University of North Florida Feb 10 18 2020 672 RV 44 50 6 Florida Chamber of Commerce Jan 3 12 2020 608 LV 4 49 44 Donald Trump vs Pete Buttigieg Poll source Date s administered Sample size Margin of error Donald Trump R Pete Buttigieg D Other Undecided Saint Leo University Feb 17 22 2020 900 LV 3 5 40 45 15 University of North Florida Feb 10 18 2020 664 RV 49 45 7 Florida Atlantic University Jan 9 12 2020 1 285 RV 2 6 50 50 Florida Chamber of Commerce Jan 3 12 2020 608 LV 4 50 43 Mason Dixon Dec 11 16 2019 625 RV 4 0 49 45 6 University of North Florida Oct 14 20 2019 643 RV 3 8 43 42 7 9 Quinnipiac University Jun 12 17 2019 1 279 RV 3 3 43 44 1 9 Florida Atlantic University May 16 19 2019 1 007 RV 3 0 52 48 Donald Trump vs Kamala Harris Poll source Date s administered Sample size Margin of error Donald Trump R Kamala Harris D Other Undecided University of North Florida Oct 14 20 2019 643 RV 3 8 44 41 8 7 Florida Atlantic University Sep 12 15 2019 934 RV 3 1 52 48 Quinnipiac University Jun 12 17 2019 1 279 RV 3 3 44 45 1 7 Florida Atlantic University May 16 19 2019 1 007 RV 3 0 53 47 Donald Trump vs Amy Klobuchar Poll source Date s administered Sample size Margin of error Donald Trump R Amy Klobuchar D Other Undecided Saint Leo University Feb 17 22 2020 900 LV 3 5 41 43 16 University of North Florida Feb 10 18 2020 662 RV 48 44 8 Donald Trump vs Beto O Rourke Poll source Date s administered Sample size Margin of error Donald Trump R Beto O Rourke D Other Undecided Quinnipiac University Jun 12 17 2019 1 279 RV 3 3 44 45 1 7 Donald Trump vs Bernie Sanders Poll source Date s administered Sample size Margin of error Donald Trump R Bernie Sanders D Other Undecided AtlasIntel Mar 14 16 2020 1 100 RV 3 0 48 41 11 Univision Mar 6 12 2020 1 071 RV 3 0 49 42 8 Florida Atlantic University Mar 5 7 2020 1 216 LV 2 7 53 47 Saint Leo University Feb 17 22 2020 900 LV 3 5 40 49 11 University of North Florida Feb 10 18 2020 671 RV 48 48 4 Florida Atlantic University Jan 9 12 2020 1 285 RV 2 6 47 53 Mason Dixon Dec 11 16 2019 625 RV 4 0 49 44 7 Siena College NYT Upshot Oct 13 26 2019 650 LV 4 4 45 44 Florida Atlantic University Sep 12 15 2019 934 RV 3 1 50 5 49 5 Quinnipiac University Jun 12 17 2019 1 279 RV 3 3 42 48 1 6 Florida Atlantic University May 16 19 2019 1 007 RV 3 0 51 49 Donald Trump vs Elizabeth Warren Poll source Date s administered Sample size Margin of error Donald Trump R Elizabeth Warren D Other Undecided Saint Leo University Feb 17 22 2020 900 LV 3 5 42 44 14 University of North Florida Feb 10 18 2020 661 RV 47 47 6 Florida Atlantic University Jan 9 12 2020 1 285 RV 2 6 49 51 Florida Chamber of Commerce Jan 3 12 2020 608 LV 4 50 43 Mason Dixon Dec 11 16 2019 625 RV 4 0 51 42 7 Siena College NYT Upshot Oct 13 26 2019 650 LV 4 4 46 42 University of North Florida Oct 14 20 2019 643 RV 3 8 43 46 6 6 Florida Atlantic University Sep 12 15 2019 934 RV 3 1 50 50 Quinnipiac University Jun 12 17 2019 1 279 RV 3 3 43 47 1 6 Florida Atlantic University May 16 19 2019 1 007 RV 3 0 52 48 Aug 17 23 2017 828 LV 3 4 39 48 14 Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Oprah Winfrey Poll source Date s administered Sample size Margin of error Donald Trump R Oprah Winfrey D Other Undecided Jan 9 10 2018 785 LV 3 5 48 24 15 13 with Donald Trump and generic Democrat Poll source Date s administered Sample size Margin of error Donald Trump R Generic Democrat Undecided Public Policy Polling D Jun 14 16 2019 679 V 3 8 44 51 6 Mason Dixon Jan 14 17 2019 625 RV 4 0 45 46 9 with Donald Trump and generic Opponent Poll source Date s administered Sample size Margin of error Donald Trump R Generic Opponent Undecided Quinnipiac University Mar 6 11 2019 1 058 V 3 7 31 51 18 with Mike Pence and Joe Biden Poll source Date s administered Sample size Margin of error Mike Pence R Joe Biden D Other Undecided University of North Florida Oct 14 20 2019 643 RV 3 8 39 49 8 5 with Mike Pence and Kamala Harris Poll source Date s administered Sample size Margin of error Mike Pence R Kamala Harris D Undecided St Leo University Sep 27 Oct 2 2020 489 LV 3 0 46 8 46 7 6 5 with Mike Pence and Elizabeth Warren Poll source Date s administered Sample size Margin of error Mike Pence R Elizabeth Warren D Other Undecided University of North Florida Oct 14 20 2019 643 RV 3 8 40 46 8 6 Results 2020 United States presidential election in Florida Party Candidate Votes Republican Donald Trump Mike Pence 5 668 731 51 22 2 20 Democratic Joe Biden Kamala Harris 5 297 045 47 86 0 04 Libertarian Jo Jorgensen Spike Cohen 70 324 0 64 1 56 Green Howie Hawkins Angela Walker 14 721 0 13 0 55 Reform Rocky De La Fuente Darcy Richardson 5 966 0 05 0 05 Socialism and Liberation Gloria La Riva Sunil Freeman 5 712 0 05 N A Constitution Don Blankenship William Mohr 3 902 0 04 0 13 Write in 1 055 0 01 0 26 Total votes 11 067 456 100 00 By county County Donald Trump Republican Joe Biden Democratic Various candidates Other parties Margin Total votes cast Alachua 50 972 35 63 89 704 62 71 2 371 1 66 38 732 27 08 143 047 Baker 11 911 84 58 2 037 14 47 134 0 95 9 874 70 11 14 082 Bay 66 097 70 91 25 614 27 48 1 502 1 61 40 483 43 43 93 213 Bradford 10 334 75 71 3 160 23 15 156 1 14 7 174 52 56 13 650 Brevard 207 883 57 48 148 549 41 08 5 221 1 44 59 334 16 40 361 653 Broward 333 409 34 74 618 752 64 48 7 479 0 78 285 343 29 74 959 640 Calhoun 5 274 80 68 1 209 18 49 54 0 83 4 065 62 19 6 537 Charlotte 73 243 62 84 42 273 36 27 1 042 0 89 30 970 26 57 116 558 Citrus 65 352 69 98 27 092 29 01 944 1 01 38 260 40 97 93 388 Clay 84 480 67 77 38 317 30 74 1 863 1 49 46 163 37 03 124 660 Collier 128 950 61 91 77 621 37 27 1 714 0 82 51 329 24 64 208 285 Columbia 23 836 72 03 8 914 26 94 342 1 03 14 822 45 09 33 092 DeSoto 8 313 65 58 4 259 33 60 104 0 82 4 054 31 98 12 676 Dixie 6 759 82 70 1 365 16 70 49 0 60 5 394 66 00 8 173 Duval 233 762 47 30 252 556 51 11 7 843 1 59 18 794 3 81 494 161 Escambia 96 674 56 58 70 929 41 51 3 253 1 91 25 745 15 07 170 856 Flagler 43 043 59 90 28 161 39 19 659 0 91 14 882 20 71 71 863 Franklin 4 675 68 16 2 120 30 91 64 0 93 2 555 37 25 6 859 Gadsden 7 465 31 42 16 153 67 98 144 0 60 8 688 36 56 23 762 Gilchrist 7 895 81 37 1 700 17 52 107 1 11 6 195 63 85 9 702 Glades 3 782 72 69 1 385 26 62 36 0 69 2 397 46 07 5 203 Gulf 6 113 74 80 1 985 24 29 74 0 91 4 128 50 51 8 172 Hamilton 3 815 65 33 1 963 33 61 62 1 06 1 852 31 72 5 840 Hardee 6 122 72 01 2 298 27 03 82 0 96 3 824 44 98 8 502 Hendry 7 906 61 02 4 929 38 04 121 0 94 2 977 22 98 12 956 Hernando 70 412 64 51 37 519 34 37 1 219 1 12 32 893 30 14 109 150 Highlands 34 873 66 75 16 938 32 42 432 0 83 17 935 34 33 52 243 Hillsborough 327 398 45 85 376 367 52 71 10 303 1 44 48 969 6 86 714 068 Holmes 8 080 89 01 924 10 18 74 0 81 7 156 78 83 9 078 Indian River 58 872 60 23 37 844 38 72 1 024 1 05 21 028 21 51 97 740 Jackson 15 488 68 97 6 766 30 13 202 0 90 8 722 38 84 22 456 Jefferson 4 479 52 89 3 897 46 02 92 1 09 382 6 87 8 468 Lafayette 3 128 85 42 510 13 93 24 0 65 2 618 71 49 3 662 Lake 125 859 59 56 83 505 39 52 1 950 0 92 42 354 20 04 211 314 Lee 233 247 59 09 157 695 39 95 3 816 0 96 75 552 19 14 394 758 Leon 57 453 35 14 103 517 63 32 2 506 1 54 46 064 28 18 163 476 Levy 16 749 72 24 6 205 26 76 231 1 00 10 544 45 48 23 185 Liberty 2 846 79 83 694 19 47 25 0 70 2 152 60 36 3 565 Madison 5 576 59 36 3 747 39 89 70 0 75 1 829 19 47 9 393 Manatee 124 987 57 47 90 166 41 46 2 319 1 07 34 821 16 01 217 472 Marion 127 826 62 44 74 858 36 57 2 032 0 99 52 968 25 87 204 716 Martin 61 168 61 82 36 893 37 29 881 0 89 24 275 24 53 98 942 Miami Dade 532 833 45 98 617 864 53 31 8 221 0 71 85 931 7 33 1 158 918 Monroe 25 693 53 38 21 881 45 46 561 1 16 3 812 7 92 48 135 Nassau 42 566 72 25 15 564 26 42 785 1 33 27 002 45 83 58 915 Okaloosa 79 798 68 35 34 248 29 34 2 697 2 31 45 550 39 01 116 743 Okeechobee 11 470 71 76 4 390 27 46 124 0 78 7 080 44 30 15 984 Orange 245 398 37 80 395 014 60 85 8 745 1 35 149 616 23 05 649 157 Osceola 73 480 42 53 97 297 56 31 2 007 1 16 23 817 13 78 172 784 Palm Beach 334 711 43 21 433 572 55 97 6 314 0 82 98 861 12 76 774 597 Pasco 179 621 59 36 119 073 39 35 3 927 1 29 60 548 20 01 302 621 Pinellas 276 209 49 22 277 450 49 44 7 502 1 34 1 241 0 22 561 161 Polk 194 586 56 56 145 049 42 16 4 391 1 28 49 537 14 40 344 026 Putnam 25 514 70 05 10 527 28 90 381 1 05 14 987 41 15 36 422 St Johns 110 946 62 66 63 850 36 06 2 251 1 28 47 096 26 60 177 047 St Lucie 86 831 50 38 84 137 48 82 1 381 0 80 2 694 1 56 172 349 Santa Rosa 77 385 72 19 27 612 25 76 2 201 2 05 49 773 46 43 107 198 Sarasota 148 370 54 71 120 110 44 29 2 689 1 00 28 260 10 42 271 169 Seminole 125 241 47 89 132 528 50 67 3 764 1 44 7 287 2 78 261 533 Sumter 62 761 67 76 29 341 31 68 522 0 56 33 420 36 08 92 624 Suwannee 16 410 77 84 4 485 21 27 188 0 89 11 925 56 57 21 083 Taylor 7 751 76 45 2 299 22 68 88 0 87 5 452 53 77 10 138 Union 5 133 82 11 1 053 16 85 65 1 04 4 080 65 26 6 251 Volusia 173 821 56 42 130 575 42 38 3 713 1 20 43 246 14 04 308 109 Wakulla 12 874 69 79 5 351 29 01 223 1 20 7 523 40 78 18 448 Walton 32 947 75 23 10 338 23 61 510 1 16 22 609 51 62 43 795 Washington 9 876 80 06 2 347 19 03 112 0 91 7 529 61 03 12 335 Totals 5 668 731 51 11 5 297 045 47 75 126 445 1 14 371 686 3 36 11 092 221 Swing by county Legend Democratic 10 12 5 Democratic 7 5 10 Democratic 5 7 5 Democratic 2 5 5 Democratic 0 2 5 Republican 0 2 5 Republican 2 5 5 Republican 5 7 5 Republican 7 5 10 Republican 10 12 5 Republican gt 15 Trend relative to the state by county Legend Democratic 10 12 5 Democratic 7 5 10 Democratic 5 7 5 Democratic 2 5 5 Democratic 0 2 5 Republican 0 2 5 Republican 2 5 5 Republican 5 7 5 Republican 7 5 10 Republican 10 12 5 Republican gt 15 County flips Legend Democratic Hold Gain from Republican Republican Hold Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic Duval largest municipality Jacksonville Pinellas largest municipality St Petersburg Seminole largest municipality Sanford By congressional district Trump won 15 of 27 congressional districts while Biden won 12 including one that elected a Republican District Trump Biden Representative 1st 65 9 32 4 Matt Gaetz 2nd 67 32 Neal Dunn 3rd 56 42 8 Ted Yoho Kat Cammack 4th 59 9 38 9 John Rutherford 5th 36 2 62 7 Al Lawson 6th 58 3 40 8 Michael Waltz 7th 44 2 54 6 Stephanie Murphy 8th 58 3 40 6 Bill Posey 9th 46 52 9 Darren Soto 10th 37 62 Val Demings 11th 65 4 33 8 Daniel Webster 12th 57 9 41 Gus Bilirakis 13th 47 4 51 5 Charlie Crist 14th 41 6 57 2 Kathy Castor 15th 53 7 45 2 Ross Spano Scott Franklin 16th 53 6 45 5 Vern Buchanan 17th 63 3 35 9 Greg Steube 18th 53 9 45 5 Brian Mast 19th 59 7 39 6 Francis Rooney Byron Donalds 20th 22 1 77 3 Alcee Hastings 21st 41 2 58 2 Lois Frankel 22nd 42 3 57 2 Ted Deutch 23rd 41 2 58 3 Debbie Wasserman Schultz 24th 24 75 4 Frederica Wilson 25th 61 2 38 2 Mario Diaz Balart 26th 52 5 46 9 Debbie Mucarsel Powell Carlos Gimenez 27th 48 1 51 3 Donna Shalala Maria Elvira SalazarAnalysisThis election was the first time since 1992 and only the second time since 1960 that Florida went to the losing candidate in a presidential election It was also the first time since 1960 that both Ohio and Florida have voted for the losing candidate in a presidential election the first time since 1992 that Florida voted Republican while neighboring Georgia voted Democratic and the first time since 1992 that Florida voted more Republican than North Carolina Trump also became the first Republican candidate to win Florida with a majority of the state s popular vote since George W Bush did so in 2004 Despite his loss statewide Biden became the first Democrat to win Duval County consolidated with Jacksonville since Southerner Jimmy Carter in 1976 and the first Democrat to win Seminole County since Harry Truman in 1948 Biden also flipped Pinellas County back to the Democratic Party Biden became the first Democrat to win the presidency without carrying Jefferson County since Lyndon B Johnson in 1964 and the first Democrat to win the presidency without carrying Monroe County since Grover Cleveland in 1884 Also this is the first time since 1888 that Florida increased its margin to an incumbent that lost re election nationally Florida was one of six states where Trump received a higher percentage of the vote than he did in 2016 Florida is one of three states that voted twice for both Barack Obama and Trump the other two being Ohio and Iowa Ex felons The United States Court of Appeals for the 11th Circuit located in Atlanta ruled that ex felons could not vote in Florida unless they pay fines and fees Florida voters approved amendment 4 in November 2018 which restored voting for felons upon completion of all terms of sentence including parole or probation except for those who committed murders or were involved in sex crimes The Republican controlled legislature then passed a law which required ex felons to settle their financial obligation in courts The United States District Court in Tallahassee ruled against it in May but the circuit court overturned it in September which was speculated to have created further problems for ex felons when they voted in November Civil rights organizations including American Civil Liberties Union opposed the decision by the court Miami Dade County In Miami Dade County the majority of Trump support came from the west and the majority of Biden support came from the east People of Mexican Haitian and African descent tended to vote for Biden while people of Cuban Chilean and Colombian descent did so for Trump as well as the critical Venezuelan vote swinging Republican Trump won approximately two thirds of the vote in Hialeah whereas it was nearly evenly split four years prior Due to the heavy presence of the Cuban American community Hialeah traditionally as of 2020 leaned towards Republican politics Trump s coattails played a role in the election of Miami Republicans Carlos A Gimenez and Maria Elvira Salazar to the House of Representatives Residents of Cuban descent often had an antagonism against leftist movements due to associations with Fidel Castro Trump sought to attract these voters by implementing anti Cuba policies Additionally Trump made efforts to target other Hispanic demographics Trump significantly increased his share of the vote in majority Hispanic Osceola County winning 42 53 of the vote the highest since 2004 Edison exit polls 2020 presidential election in Florida by demographic subgroup Edison exit polling Demographic subgroup Biden Trump of total vote Total vote 47 86 51 22 100 Ideology Liberals 83 16 19 Moderates 59 40 42 Conservatives 16 83 39 Party Democrats 94 5 30 Republicans 7 93 38 Independents 54 43 32 Gender Men 45 54 45 Women 51 48 55 Race ethnicity White 37 62 62 Black 89 10 14 Latino 53 46 19 Asian 1 Other 55 44 3 Age 18 24 years old 57 42 7 25 29 years old 64 35 6 30 39 years old 48 50 13 40 49 years old 48 51 13 50 64 years old 45 54 28 65 and older 45 55 32 Sexual orientation LGBT 83 15 6 Not LGBT 46 53 94 Education High school or less 44 56 19 Some college education 50 49 25 Associate degree 45 53 20 Bachelor s degree 49 50 22 Postgraduate degree 53 45 14 Issue regarded as most important Racial inequality 86 12 13 Coronavirus 88 10 18 Economy 13 87 38 Crime and safety 12 88 10 Health care 83 16 13 Region North Panhandle 41 58 18 Orlando Central Atlantic 51 48 19 Tampa Bay area 48 51 16 Gulf Coast Mid Florida 39 60 20 Miami Gold Coast 58 41 27 Area type Urban 55 44 41 Suburban 44 55 50 Rural 38 61 9 Family s financial situation today Better than four years ago 18 81 44 Worse than four years ago 84 15 19 About the same 67 32 36See alsoUnited States presidential elections in Florida 2020 United States presidential election 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries 2020 United States electionsNotesThe other five states were Arkansas California Hawaii Nevada and Utah Candidate withdrew after Super Tuesday when early voting had begun in a few counties Calculated by taking the difference of 100 and all other candidates combined Key A all adults RV registered voters LV likely voters V unclear Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight Someone else with 1 Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey Axios poll but more information available regarding sample size Refused would not vote with 2 Another candidate with 0 Other candidate or write in with 0 Standard VI response West B with 1 Some other candidate and would not vote with 0 If only Biden Trump and some other candidate were available Some other candidate with 2 would not vote with 0 Results considering those who lean towards a given candidate among those initially predisposed towards abstention indecision or a candidate besides Biden or Trump in the response section immediately above Some other candidate with 2 Someone else with 3 Someone else and would not vote with 0 Includes Refused Results generated with high Democratic turnout model Results generated with high Republican turnout model Not sure Someone else Undecided with 2 None of these and Other with 0 would not vote with no voters Other candidate with 1 No one with 0 With a likely voter turnout model featuring high turnout With a likely voter turnout model featuring low turnout Some other candidate and West B with 1 would not vote with 0 Some other candidate with 3 would not vote with 0 Someone else with 2 Refused would not vote with 2 Another candidate with 1 Not yet released Refused with 3 Other third party with 2 Third party with 2 Some other candidate with 1 Some other candidate with 3 Some other candidate with 1 would not vote with 0 Other and None of these with 0 Some other candidate with 2 West B and would not vote with 0 Third party with 1 With voters who lean towards a given candidate One of the other party or independent tickets with 1 Someone else with 4 Under a 2 Democratic turnout model Under a conservative 2 Republican turnout model Another Third Party Write in with 1 No voters Refused with 2 La Riva PSOL with 1 Blankenship C Fuente A and other with no voters With the preferences of La Riva and Jorgensen voters in an election featuring only Biden and Trump Refused with 2 Other with 0 Neither with 1 other and would not vote with no voters Someone else third party with 1 No one with 1 With a likely voter turnout model featuring higher turnout than in the 2016 presidential election Other with 1 With a likely voter turnout model featuring lower turnout than in the 2016 presidential election Someone else with 2 Refused and would not vote with 1 Someone else with 0 Would not vote with 2 Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll but more information available regarding sample size Other not sure with 4 Another Party Candidate with 1 Refused with 1 Other and Neither 1 Someone else with 4 would not vote with 2 Third party candidate with 2 Someone else third party with 2 would not vote with 0 Other party candidate with 5 Other with 4 would not vote with 2 Another candidate and would not vote with 2 Libertarian Party candidate Green Party candidate with 3 Other with 3 prefer not to answer with 1 Third party candidate with 3 3 Third party with 2 7 Libertarian nominee with 1 2 Green nominee with 0 4 Third party write in with 3 Would not vote with 6 Would not vote with 7 Would not vote with 8 Would definitely not vote for Trump with 51 Consider voting for Trump with 14 don t know no answer with 4 The other five states were Arkansas California Hawaii Nevada and Utah as well as Washington DC Partisan clients The Center for American Greatness is a pro Trump organization Compete Everywhere primarily supports Democratic candidates Climate Power 2020 was created by the League of Conservation Voters which endorsed Biden prior to the sampling period Poll sponsored by the Defend Students Action Fund The Human Rights Campaign endorsed Biden prior to this poll s sampling period The Consumer Energy Alliance is a pro Keystone XL lobbying group Heritage Action is the sister organization of the Heritage Foundation which exclusively endorses Republican candidates Poll sponsored by the Florida Chamber of Commerce PAC Poll sponsored by the League of Conservation VotersReferencesNovember 3 2020 General Election Florida Department of State Division of Elections Kelly Ben August 13 2018 US elections key dates When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign The Independent Archived from the original on August 2 2018 Retrieved January 3 2019 Distribution of Electoral Votes National Archives and Records Administration Retrieved January 3 2019 Cruise ship hotels zoo parties and an NBA arena Miami s Democratic convention pitch miamiherald Retrieved July 1 2018 City of Milwaukee 1 of 3 finalists to host 2020 Democratic National Convention FOX6Now com June 20 2018 Retrieved July 1 2018 Glauber Bill August 22 2018 Selection committee for 2020 Democratic Convention will visit Milwaukee next week Milwaukee Journal Sentinel Retrieved August 24 2018 Haberman Maggie November 4 2019 Trump Lifelong New Yorker Declares Himself a Resident of Florida The New York Times Nagourney Adam Goldmacher Shane Thrush Glenn November 4 2020 Big gains among Latinos in the Miami area power Trump to victory in Florida The New York Times ISSN 0362 4331 Retrieved November 9 2020 Florida Voter Surveys How Different Groups Voted The New York Times November 3 2020 ISSN 0362 4331 Retrieved November 9 2020 Florida 2020 President exit polls www cnn com Retrieved November 8 2020 March 17 2020 Primary Election Florida Department of State Florida Division of Elections March 31 2020 Retrieved April 8 2020 Florida Republican Delegation 2020 The Green Papers Retrieved March 11 2020 Taylor Kate February 9 2019 Elizabeth Warren Formally Announces 2020 Presidential Bid in Lawrence Mass The New York Times Retrieved February 10 2019 Zhou Li January 21 2019 Kamala Harris announces her historic 2020 presidential campaign Vox Retrieved February 10 2019 Detrow Scott February 1 2019 Cory Booker Makes It Official He s Running For President In 2020 NPR Retrieved February 10 2019 First Democratic Debate 2019 Highlights candidates and more NBC News March 17 2020 Primary Election Democratic Primary Florida Department of State Division of Elections Retrieved October 14 2020 Delegate Tracker interactives ap org Associated Press Retrieved March 20 2020 2020 POTUS Race ratings PDF The Cook Political Report Retrieved May 21 2019 POTUS Ratings Inside Elections insideelections com Retrieved May 21 2019 Larry J Sabato s Crystal Ball 2020 President crystalball centerforpolitics org Retrieved November 2 2020 2020 Election Forecast Politico November 19 2019 Battle for White House RCP April 19 2019 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23 2020 at the Wayback Machine Niskanen Center March 24 2020 retrieved April 19 2020 David Chalian Terence Burlij June 11 2020 Road to 270 CNN s debut Electoral College map for 2020 CNN Retrieved June 16 2020 Forecasting the US elections The Economist Retrieved July 7 2020 2020 Election Battleground Tracker CBS News July 12 2020 Retrieved July 13 2020 2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map 270 to Win ABC News Race Ratings CBS News July 24 2020 Retrieved July 24 2020 Montanaro Domenico August 3 2020 2020 Electoral Map Ratings Trump Slides Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes NPR org Retrieved August 3 2020 Biden dominates the electoral map but here s how the race could tighten NBC News August 6 2020 Retrieved August 6 2020 2020 Election Forecast FiveThirtyEight August 12 2020 Archived from the original on August 12 2020 Retrieved August 14 2020 270 to Win Real Clear Politics FiveThirtyEight Insider Advantage Fox 35 Trafalgar Group SurveyMonkey Axios AYTM Aspiration Change Research CNBC Susquehanna Polling amp Research Inc Center for American Greatness PDF Archived from the original PDF on November 30 2020 Retrieved November 1 2020 Quinnipiac University Swayable Archived November 13 2020 at the Wayback Machine Data for Progress Ipsos Reuters Frederick Polls Compete Everywhere Pulse Opinion Research Rasmussen Reports Siena College NYT Upshot Morning Consult St Pete Polls RMG Research PoliticalIQ Archived from the original on November 30 2020 Retrieved November 1 2020 Targoz Market Research PollSmart AtlasIntel Public Policy Polling Climate Power 2020 Harvard Harris The Hill ABC Washington Post Redfield amp Wilton Strategies Trafalgar Group Monmouth University Marist College NBC Quinnipiac University Ipsos Reuters Swayable YouGov Institute of Politics at Florida State University Wick Surveys Archived from the original on December 3 2020 Retrieved November 3 2020 Florida Atlantic University Susquehanna Polling amp Research Inc Center for American Greatness PDF Archived from the original PDF on November 30 2020 Retrieved October 27 2020 Univision University of Houston Latino Decisions North Star Opinion Research Ryan Tyson R Gravis Marketing YouGov CBS St Pete Polls Florida Politics RMG Research PoliticalIQ Archived from the original on November 30 2020 Retrieved October 26 2020 Pulse Opinion Research Rasmussen Reports Ipsos Reuters Citizen Data Civiqs Daily Kos CNN SSRS PDF Archived from the original PDF on November 30 2020 Retrieved October 22 2020 Change Research CNBC University of North Florida PDF Archived from the original PDF on November 30 2020 Retrieved October 20 2020 HarrisX The Hill Ipsos Reuters Trafalgar Group Redfield amp Wilton Strategies St Pete Polls Florida Politics Emerson College Mason Dixon Clearview Research Florida Atlantic University RMG Research PoliticalIQ Archived from the original on November 27 2020 Retrieved October 14 2020 Insider Advantage Hannity Exclusive R YouGov CCES Archived November 1 2020 at the Wayback Machine Ipsos Reuters Redfield amp Wilton Strategies Quinnipiac University Change Research CNBC Suffolk University USA Today University of North Florida PDF Archived from the original PDF on November 30 2020 Retrieved October 6 2020 St Leo University Siena College NYT Upshot Cherry Communications Florida Chamber of Commerce Susquehanna Polling amp Research Inc Center for American Greatness Redfield amp Wilton Strategies St Pete Polls Data For Progress Change Research CNBC ABC Washington Post Hart Research Associates Human Rights Campaign permanent dead link YouGov CBS Ipsos Reuters Redfield amp Wilton Strategies Monmouth University Kaiser Family Foundation Cook Political Report Florida Atlantic University St Pete Polls Florida Politics AARP Benenson Strategy Group GS Strategy Group AARP Morning Consult Change Research CNBC Marist College NBC Trafalgar Group Redfield amp Wilton Strategies GQR Research D Quinnipiac Archived September 3 2020 at the Wayback Machine Morning Consult Opinium The Guardian Change Research CNBC PPP Redfield and Wilton Strategies Tyson Group Consumer Energy Alliance Change Research CNBC OnMessage Inc Heritage Action Change Research CNBC Morning Consult CNN SSRS Zogby Analytics Mason Dixon Redfield amp Wilton Strategies Quinnipiac University Florida Politics AARP Florida St Pete Polls Gravis Marketing Change Research CNBC YouGov CBS Trafalgar Group Change Research CNBC Fox News Siena College NYT Upshot Redfield amp Wilton Strategies Change Research CNBC Gravis Marketing OANN TIPP American Greatness PAC Archived June 16 2020 at the Wayback Machine Change Research CNBC Cygnal R St Pete Polls Point Blank Political Redfield amp Wilton Strategies Florida Atlantic University Fox News Quinnipiac University St Pete Polls University of North Florida PDF Archived from the original PDF on April 6 2020 Retrieved April 6 2020 AtlasIntel Univision Florida Atlantic University Saint Leo University University of North Florida PDF Archived from the original PDF on February 24 2020 Retrieved February 24 2020 Florida Atlantic University Cherry Communications Florida Chamber of Commerce Mason Dixon Siena College NYT Upshot University of North Florida Florida Atlantic University Quinnipiac University St Pete Polls Florida Atlantic University WPA Intelligence Zogby Analytics Dixie Strategies Public Policy Polling D Mason Dixon Quinnipiac University November 3 2020 General Election Official Results Florida Department of State November 17 2020 Retrieved November 17 2020 Counties that flipped from Donald Trump to Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election The Republican March 17 2021 Archived from the original on January 4 2025 Nir David November 19 2020 Daily Kos Elections presidential results by congressional district for 2020 2016 and 2012 Daily Kos Retrieved December 10 2020 Florida Presidential Election Voting History The Political Graveyard Duval County Fla politicalgraveyard com Retrieved November 20 2020 The Political Graveyard Seminole County Fla politicalgraveyard com Retrieved November 20 2020 The Political Graveyard Monroe County Fla politicalgraveyard com Retrieved April 13 2021 Initiative Information Florida Division of Elections Retrieved September 26 2018 Mazzei Patricia September 11 2020 Court Ruling Deals Blow to Ex Felons Voting Rights in Florida The New York Times Viteri Amy Torres Andrea November 6 2020 Presidential election Here is why eastern Miami Dade is celebrating and western Miami Dade is not Local 10 Miami Retrieved November 8 2020 Daugherty Alex Smiley David Padro Ocasio Bianca Wieder Ben November 6 2020 How non Cuban Hispanics in Miami helped deliver Florida for Donald Trump Miami Herald Retrieved November 8 2020 Smiley David September 21 2020 Why some Cuban Americans in Florida are supporting Biden over Trump Tampa Bay Times Retrieved October 20 2020 Cuban Americans show strong support for Trump University of Miami October 2020 Retrieved November 8 2020 Gomez Licon Adriana October 30 2020 With salsa caravans Cubans make last push to reelect Trump Associated Press Retrieved November 8 2020 Florida 2020 President exit polls www cnn com Retrieved December 28 2020 Florida Exit Polls How Different Groups Voted The New York Times November 3 2020 Retrieved December 28 2020 Further readingDavid Weigel Lauren Tierney August 30 2020 The six political states of Florida Washingtonpost com archived from the original on September 7 2020 retrieved September 7 2020 Summary State Laws on Presidential Electors PDF Washington D C National Association of Secretaries of State August 2020 Florida Nick Corasaniti Stephanie Saul Patricia Mazzei September 13 2020 Big Voting Decisions in Florida Wisconsin Texas What They Mean for November The New York Times archived from the original on September 13 2020 Both parties are waging legal battles around the country over who gets to vote and how Jonathan Martin Patricia Mazzei September 14 2020 A Tight Trump Biden Race in Florida Here s the State of Play The New York Times archived from the original on September 14 2020 David Wasserman October 6 2020 The 10 Bellwether Counties That Show How Trump Is in Serious Trouble The New York Times describes bellwether Pinellas County Florida Videos Conservative Cubans Venezuelans in Miami on why they voted for Trump The Washington Post November 4 2020 Archived from the original on November 14 2021 External linksFlorida Elections Commission government website League of Women Voters of Florida state affiliate of the U S League of Women Voters Florida at Ballotpedia Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association Florida Voting amp Elections Toolkits Florida Election Tools Deadlines Dates Rules and Links Vote org Oakland CA

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